MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeffc9017a924f8d16977ee85fd63a531bda32605c4d5b4b625d8d444909d58a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $513,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $545,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,999.98 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab3…64afbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 69,199$33,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,525.21 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed New York Yankees | 51c | 52,892$26,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,916.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 52,121$24,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,584.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 26,907$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,381.5 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 25,454$16,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,106.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 72c | 23,012$16,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,386.18 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 20,413$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.72 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees | 59c | 15,508$9,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,347.62 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 15,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 13,352$6,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,408.81 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 12,537$6,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,501.96 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 11,900$4,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 76c | 11,463$8,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.19 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 10,371$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,978.28 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 8,510$4,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.9 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…7a06backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 8,196$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Yankees | 79c | 7,841$6,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.03 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Yankees | 65c | 7,508$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.21 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Yankees | 52c | 5,002$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.26 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 54c | 4,454$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.24 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 4,374$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.52 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Yankees | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 3,618$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.49 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 3,130$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.82 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 52c | 3,012$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.76 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked New York Yankees | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked New York Yankees | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 78c | 2,930$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,335$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.8 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 2,231$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.65 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 52c | 2,200$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…97b5backed New York Yankees | 51c | 2,112$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked New York Yankees | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 1,915$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.11 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Yankees | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 1,632$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.69 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,535$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.52 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,530$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,437$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,383$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.8 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,339$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.68 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed New York Yankees | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…3535backed Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 1,184$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,100$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.58 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 1,084$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.28 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 999.38$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.7 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 998.27$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 991.14$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.75 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 967.47$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.49 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 958.17$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.5 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 933.59$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.46 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 933.32$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.66 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 914$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.59 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb489…251cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 902.76$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 50c | 899.97$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.81 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 852$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.95 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 787$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.85 | 267 | 62.2%166 W · 101 L | +43.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed New York Yankees | 79c | 761.08$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.24 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 760.49$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees | 51c | 722.26$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.02 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc8…c678backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 699.93$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 699.02$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.68 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 698.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 694.16$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.74 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…22d2backed New York Yankees | 65c | 674.06$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.92 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 668.71$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.29 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 609$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.81 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 595.51$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.85 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 579.14$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 565.2$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.27 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed New York Yankees | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked New York Yankees | 77c | 517.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.13 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 514.75$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.53 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed New York Yankees | 48c | 508.88$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.03 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 505.24$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.67 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Yankees | 56c | 500.51$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.85 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…4b17backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed New York Yankees | 65c | 489.15$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.15 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 483.8$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.22 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…c45bbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 472.08$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 470$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 468.2$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.53 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 457.68$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.53 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 449.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed New York Yankees | 54c | 440.45$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.74 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 421.89$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.