MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5304b767638fa30212b176b62a75fd4e8c6c92195ae2968cd071edc048ca4ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 47c | 278,843$130,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,978.4 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,000 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 72,333$38,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,281.6 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 8,864$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220.57 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 8,544$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.16 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 52c | 7,835$4,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760.6 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 52c | 6,480$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.4 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 53c | 6,420$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.62 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 5,019$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.57 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 53c | 4,500$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Over | 49c | 4,132$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.78 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 46c | 4,010$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.63 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 53c | 3,378$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.21 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 54c | 2,788$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.26 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 52c | 2,571$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.15 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 2,500$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 2,230$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 1,982$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 1,869$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.88 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 54c | 1,404$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.03 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 52c | 1,301$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.48 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Under | 53c | 1,131$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.57 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 33c | 1,131$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.19 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 59c | 1,079$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.9 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 49c | 1,029$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.52 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 51c | 1,027$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.09 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…bf27backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 52c | 1,015$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.5 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 53c | 949.34$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 53c | 943$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 60c | 838.79$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.29 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 55c | 740.57$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.26 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 65c | 690.61$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.53 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 46c | 673.91$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 537.46$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.98 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 462.76$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…7e4abacked Over | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 53c | 327.02$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed Under | 35c | 268.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Over | 32c | 231.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 52c | 225.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 221.34$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 64c | 176$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 64c | 176$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Over | 48c | 164.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Over | 47c | 154$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 147.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Under | 54c | 139.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 54c | 139.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 139$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 52c | 138$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 62c | 132.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 55c | 131.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 53c | 115.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 110.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 107.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 50c | 107.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 70c | 94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Under | 55c | 91.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 52c | 86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 52c | 85.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…37d8backed Under | 54c | 56.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17f…cd73backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 52c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 46.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 52c | 45.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 48c | 45.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 49c | 44.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 59c | 38.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 55c | 37.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 52c | 36.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 35.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Under | 69c | 34.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 52c | 29.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.