TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed No61c151,242$92,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,151.825650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes39c32,254$12,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,579.125,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c29,624$7,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,176.648,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes29c23,108$6,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,740.712,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes39c9,940$3,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,876.631,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes39c9,000$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5108153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes40c7,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes39c6,758$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,635.74858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes39c6,697$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.668756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes39c6,301$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4701,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes40c5,850$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,31249136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes39c5,069$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.155358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9503821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c3,676$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.333,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed No60c3,574$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.525851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No60c3,256$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.5934747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes39c2,884$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.761,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes39c2,884$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.761,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes39c2,884$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.762,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No59c2,341$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9606553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes23c1,951$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.753920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes28c1,819$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.593,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes39c1,312$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.051,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes21c1,271$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.4921938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes38c979.22$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.5433152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes40c932.68$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.631,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes35c706.07$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6819437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes38c704.06$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8246449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes31c700.76$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1425635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes39c641$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9931039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes39c615.38$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed No62c590.37$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.344040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes40c544.62$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8255250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes38c501.13$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked No62c484$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.921963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes3c459.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4895155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes3c449.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5160156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No71c392.49$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.836864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes31c388.67$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1889645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes39c365$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7572058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes39c351.03$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6150656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x258e…a42dbacked Yes8c299.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes19c281.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1816842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005056%28 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes20c246.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.523044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No76c236.46$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8375240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No61c210$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.951749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No60c188.32$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3327855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Yes39c182.23$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.758760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes39c178.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7315651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes39c172.36$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2216751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes39c167.91$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2510458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes16c162.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.781,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed No62c156.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.382860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed No62c156.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.382958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes40c152.65$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.063135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes40c152.41$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.964658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Yes13c151.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No76c140.82$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.820065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked No60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.339158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed No62c131.42$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90aa…00f1backed Yes11c131.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab61…fb2bbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Yes40c125.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes39c125.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0218247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No60c102.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7825955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe092…d209backed Yes40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes39c98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.229244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Yes40c95.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.182343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Yes39c90.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.312347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No68c89.69$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7226465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes39c89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.711,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Yes39c85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.153327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No77c83$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.091,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes35c82.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2919543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No60c82.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.598166.7%54 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed No60c80.65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.384858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.659860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3215128.5%43 W · 108 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed No61c79.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.953366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed No62c78.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.695354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes41c78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9810033%33 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed Yes41c77.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.923855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x305c…146abacked Yes39c76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes40c75.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.133365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…7593backed No62c66.66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed No61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.573759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No72c59.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed Yes39c53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.674858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes39c51.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No60c50.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Yes39c49.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.432254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaee…2fffbacked No62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Yes29c48.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.092138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Yes40c45.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9419164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.