Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d97a6235af5d7d81d3c39c13bdbb2add007270d666178dcc7b0c5375ac140ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joao Fonsecaof Casper Ruud, Joao Fonseca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $816,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $903,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $816,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Joao Fonseca | 57c | 56,351$32,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,314.49 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Joao Fonseca | 55c | 48,134$26,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,660.1 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb1…4dbebacked Casper Ruud | 53c | 48,000$25,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,440 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Joao Fonseca | 53c | 29,258$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,757.57 | 732 | 39.5%289 W · 443 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Joao Fonseca | 47c | 25,196$11,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,337.04 | 1,143 | 46.4%530 W · 613 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 24,804$13,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,998.11 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Casper Ruud | 43c | 23,747$10,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,261.21 | 183 | 48.1%88 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…326abacked Casper Ruud | 49c | 20,370$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Casper Ruud | 52c | 20,026$10,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,366.49 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Joao Fonseca | 54c | 16,031$8,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,374.12 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Casper Ruud | 46c | 15,480$7,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,059.17 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Joao Fonseca | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,519.99 | 644 | 55.3%356 W · 288 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Casper Ruud | 25c | 11,538$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.62 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Joao Fonseca | 52c | 11,166$5,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,352.69 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Casper Ruud | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.95 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Casper Ruud | 21c | 10,680$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 713 | 29.7%212 W · 501 L | -39.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Casper Ruud | 9c | 10,441$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.46 | 575 | 22.1%127 W · 448 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Casper Ruud | 46c | 10,350$4,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,761.22 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…09efbacked Casper Ruud | 29c | 10,273$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Casper Ruud | 0c | 9,584$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Casper Ruud | 44c | 9,091$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Casper Ruud | 45c | 9,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Casper Ruud | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,769.96 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Casper Ruud | 46c | 7,745$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.61 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Joao Fonseca | 53c | 7,710$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.75 | 598 | 52.7%315 W · 283 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Casper Ruud | 47c | 7,709$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.35 | 926 | 55.9%518 W · 408 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Joao Fonseca | 59c | 7,583$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.19 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Joao Fonseca | 51c | 7,500$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650 | 361 | 49.6%179 W · 182 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Casper Ruud | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.98 | 527 | 44.6%235 W · 292 L | +30.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Casper Ruud | 36c | 7,333$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.64 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Joao Fonseca | 76c | 7,208$5,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.02 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joao Fonseca | 60c | 5,648$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.93 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Casper Ruud | 54c | 4,858$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.46 | 750 | 46.8%351 W · 399 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Casper Ruud | 37c | 4,555$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.97 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Casper Ruud | 4c | 4,063$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Joao Fonseca | 55c | 3,863$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.05 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Casper Ruud | 51c | 3,756$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.88 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Joao Fonseca | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 1,013 | 50.1%508 W · 505 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Joao Fonseca | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.99 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Casper Ruud | 45c | 3,547$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.2 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Joao Fonseca | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Casper Ruud | 46c | 3,454$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.72 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Casper Ruud | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 2,907$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.01 | 756 | 48.7%368 W · 388 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Joao Fonseca | 48c | 2,876$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.36 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Joao Fonseca | 53c | 2,854$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.64 | 539 | 42.1%227 W · 312 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Joao Fonseca | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Joao Fonseca | 54c | 2,592$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.3 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Casper Ruud | 32c | 2,507$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.52 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Joao Fonseca | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 323 | 37.5%121 W · 202 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Joao Fonseca | 41c | 2,423$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.52 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Casper Ruud | 38c | 2,319$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.89 | 488 | 47.1%230 W · 258 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Casper Ruud | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Casper Ruud | 54c | 2,266$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.48 | 327 | 37.3%122 W · 205 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Joao Fonseca | 42c | 2,153$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.11 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…5db2backed Casper Ruud | 27c | 2,116$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.73 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Joao Fonseca | 66c | 2,080$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.86 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Joao Fonseca | 47c | 2,070$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.36 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Joao Fonseca | 50c | 2,022$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.24 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Joao Fonseca | 42c | 2,000$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.7 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Casper Ruud | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 1,505 | 37.7%568 W · 937 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x311d…9cd3backed Casper Ruud | 44c | 1,968$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Casper Ruud | 38c | 1,916$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.16 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Joao Fonseca | 47c | 1,812$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.25 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Casper Ruud | 51c | 1,733$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.4 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Casper Ruud | 24c | 1,672$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.36 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Joao Fonseca | 54c | 1,652$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.92 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +36.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Casper Ruud | 46c | 1,634$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.85 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Joao Fonseca | 63c | 1,588$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.65 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…e1a5backed Joao Fonseca | 50c | 1,558$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Casper Ruud | 45c | 1,525$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.8 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Joao Fonseca | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 337 | 55.2%186 W · 151 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed Casper Ruud | 47c | 1,465$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Casper Ruud | 45c | 1,401$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.45 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Casper Ruud | 45c | 1,399$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.46 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Casper Ruud | 42c | 1,378$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.97 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Casper Ruud | 46c | 1,364$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 1,110 | 43%477 W · 633 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Joao Fonseca | 47c | 1,348$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.03 | 228 | 56.1%128 W · 100 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Joao Fonseca | 57c | 1,315$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.45 | 1,634 | 50%817 W · 817 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Casper Ruud | 40c | 1,195$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.86 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Joao Fonseca | 60c | 1,180$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.18 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Casper Ruud | 43c | 1,176$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.44 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Joao Fonseca | 62c | 1,125$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.09 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Joao Fonseca | 55c | 1,122$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.95 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Joao Fonseca | 55c | 1,109$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.09 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Casper Ruud | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Casper Ruud | 49c | 1,065$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.86 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…6929backed Joao Fonseca | 46c | 1,061$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.87 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Casper Ruud | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Casper Ruud | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 350 | 38.3%134 W · 216 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Casper Ruud | 44c | 998.97$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.55 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Joao Fonseca | 57c | 992.92$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.07 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Joao Fonseca | 54c | 990.33$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.77 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Casper Ruud | 55c | 945.04$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.77 | 305 | 44.9%137 W · 168 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Joao Fonseca | 49c | 935.61$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.5 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Casper Ruud | 53c | 899.99$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.99 | 386 | 46.4%179 W · 207 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Joao Fonseca | 47c | 899.97$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.98 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…977cbacked Joao Fonseca | 55c | 893.07$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Casper Ruud | 48c | 854.58$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.27 | 530 | 44.9%238 W · 292 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6b5bbacked Casper Ruud | 46c | 850$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecathis page
- Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Ruud vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs FonsecaFonseca won
- Set 2 Winner: Ruud vs FonsecaFonseca won
- Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Ruud (+1.5)Fonseca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.