TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xedde…5db2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT5841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$299.57
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.03
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.73
Ruud vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.69
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.73
Set Handicap: Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)backed Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.67
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.24
Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)backed Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$80.36
Hagen: Lorenzo Giustino vs Jerome Kymbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.24
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.3
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.44
National Bank Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$188.06
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Musetti (+1.5)backed Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.62
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.76
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$231.57
National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
ITF Southaven: Maximus Dussault vs Maxwell Exstedbacked Maximus Dussault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$83.42
Plovdiv 2: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.04
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.65
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$119.56
National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$263.37
National Bank Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.72
National Bank Open: Kayla Day vs Coco Gauffbacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.66
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$125.45
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.74
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$280.96
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$83.63
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$136.66
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$212.25
Sean Burke: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.76
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$228.75
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.41
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$162.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$75.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.