MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b54546f205ce9a93ccd91b2847c7fbacd871e072f915a66a6cbe91404878788
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $417,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 126,338$69,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,485.68 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 67,839$31,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,632.85 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 45,000$24,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,299.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 39,187$18,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,928.82 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 38,725$21,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,991.76 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 25,467$15,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,744.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 15,505$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,394.4 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 12,995$5,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,147.2 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 11,391$6,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,265.04 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 10,395$4,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917.64 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 8,489$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 7,978$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,388.05 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 7,656$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,214.18 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 7,188$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,013.97 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 7,129$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.06 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 5,828$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.36 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 4,601$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.33 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 4,284$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.15 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 4,076$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.91 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 3,742$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.84 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 3,657$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 3,313$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.24 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,754$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.49 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,740$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 2,431$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.56 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Kansas City Royals | 31c | 2,382$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.48 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.1 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 2,157$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 1,963$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.65 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,886$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.5 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Minnesota Twins | 12c | 1,879$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.3 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 1,706$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.39 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 1,615$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Kansas City Royals | 31c | 1,508$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.23 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,116$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.97 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 1,072$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.02 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 74c | 977.64$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.39 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Minnesota Twins | 72c | 943.57$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.64 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 933.72$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.42 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 918$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 918$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 872.12$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.12 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 871$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.51 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 833.33$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.33 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 813.34$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.94 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 749$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.95 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 699.98$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.99 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 691$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.05 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 688.25$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.82 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 627.24$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 625$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.25 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 617.96$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 600.4$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.22 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 26c | 595.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.05 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 586.27$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.1 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 581.67$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.01 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Minnesota Twins | 75c | 525.32$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 467.2$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.02 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 466.33$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.23 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 418$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.72 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 406.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 395.96$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.42 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Minnesota Twins | 25c | 394.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 359.4$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.47 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 356.87$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Minnesota Twins | 76c | 331.12$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 78cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Kansas City Royals | 15c | 329.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Minnesota Twins | 16c | 328$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.52 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Minnesota Twins | 25c | 320$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 317.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.93 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 306.18$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 304.86$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.39 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…486cbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 286.92$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Kansas City Royals | 18c | 285.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 282.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 255$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…9f1fbacked Kansas City Royals | 67c | 251.15$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 242$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…1582backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 240$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 234.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 232.5$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 229.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.52 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.