MLB · resolved market

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3179d1a1957aa2f028aa3a5c947fa44bf63d40b51b80198876aecab2337b5504

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Washington Nationals
Resolved: Aug 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $57,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $66,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,468 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies	60c	9,179$5,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,679.25	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	7,881$4,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,231.36	194	53.6%104 W · 90 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Washington Nationals	41c	6,439$2,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,640.12	716	50.7%363 W · 353 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Washington Nationals	41c	4,716$1,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,933.71	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	3,958$2,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,622.78	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals	41c	3,300$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339.81	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	60c	2,859$1,703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,155.64	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals	24c	1,363$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.41	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	1,301$767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.33	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Philadelphia Phillies	61c	803.36$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.99	169	47.9%81 W · 88 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies	59c	803$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.23	1,291	51%658 W · 633 L	-15.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies	74c	775.3$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.85	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals	41c	730.7$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.66	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals	41c	701.32$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.44	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Washington Nationals	42c	681.81$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.36	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Washington Nationals	40c	678$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.39	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	549.98$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.49	102	49%50 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Washington Nationals	42c	454.54$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.91	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Washington Nationals	40c	398$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.17	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedde…5db2backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	333.32$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.66	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies	60c	305$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals	24c	278.79$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.82	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals	40c	275.38$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.13	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Washington Nationals	41c	268.29$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Washington Nationals	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-4.7wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Washington Nationals	40c	238.09$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.24	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-6.4wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Washington Nationals	35c	237.15$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Washington Nationals	24c	236.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.88	289	43.3%125 W · 164 L	-11.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Washington Nationals	42c	227.27$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.45	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-5.7wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-29%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Washington Nationals	42c	227.27$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.45	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3818…c72dbacked Washington Nationals	40c	207.12$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.85	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Nationals	8c	192.04$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Nationals	41c	184.91$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.81	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c3e…d412backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals	41c	164$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.24	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Washington Nationals	12c	161.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies	73c	155$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.91	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Washington Nationals	17c	134.17$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.37	799	55.9%447 W · 352 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Washington Nationals	42c	128.78$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.09	287	51.9%149 W · 138 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Washington Nationals	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	133	44.4%59 W · 74 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Washington Nationals	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	151	47.7%72 W · 79 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Washington Nationals	41c	121.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	114	41.2%47 W · 67 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Washington Nationals	39c	121.86$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.52	546	42.5%232 W · 314 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Washington Nationals	42c	119.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	146	45.9%67 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed Washington Nationals	42c	113.63$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.72	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x703a…391bbacked Washington Nationals	42c	102.27$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.95	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	541	46.8%253 W · 288 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x920b…fcfbbacked Washington Nationals	41c	99.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	166	48.8%81 W · 85 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Washington Nationals	24c	99.29$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.08	293	50.9%149 W · 144 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd6…cfdebacked Washington Nationals	41c	95.45$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.09	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x366f…f952backed Washington Nationals	41c	95.23$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.04	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	90$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.9	107	56.1%60 W · 47 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	90$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.9	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Philadelphia Phillies	59c	84.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.46	156	39.1%61 W · 95 L	-11.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Washington Nationals	42c	79.54$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.41	126	46.8%59 W · 67 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Washington Nationals	40c	75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Philadelphia Phillies	59c	70$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.7	159	54.7%87 W · 72 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a48…9e7bbacked Washington Nationals	41c	62.98$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.82	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Philadelphia Phillies	58c	59.98$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.19	216	56%121 W · 95 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	58.31$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.91	357	47.6%170 W · 187 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals	22c	52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Washington Nationals	42c	50.71$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	564	35.1%198 W · 366 L	-21.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Washington Nationals	41c	49.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.33	788	54.6%430 W · 358 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e33…c5b9backed Washington Nationals	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41ea…1bd8backed Washington Nationals	42c	47.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Washington Nationals	42c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-4.2wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed Washington Nationals	42c	46.24$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.42	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-5.4wins	-0.18per pick	45cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa1fd…9994backed Washington Nationals	42c	45.45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.09	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-5.6wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc915…2b84backed Washington Nationals	42c	45.45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.09	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-4.9wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	43.78$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.95	121	54.5%66 W · 55 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Washington Nationals	41c	43.09$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.67	877	50.4%442 W · 435 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Philadelphia Phillies	80c	39.74$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.09	556	45.3%252 W · 304 L	-17.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90d1…9702backed Philadelphia Phillies	61c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.04	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-21%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c47…b30abacked Philadelphia Phillies	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Philadelphia Phillies	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	222	57.7%128 W · 94 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	33.59$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.77	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Philadelphia Phillies	58c	33.49$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.07	452	52.4%237 W · 215 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49f…03acbacked Washington Nationals	42c	31.74$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.33	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7319…c664backed Washington Nationals	41c	29.98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.29	309	28.5%88 W · 221 L	-46.7wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Philadelphia Phillies	74c	25.54$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.64	232	40.9%95 W · 137 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58d3…5651backed Washington Nationals	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Philadelphia Phillies	78c	14.6$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.27	733	55.3%405 W · 328 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 13.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event