MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d3915d2e5aba59d058874238319a7e83309aaeafbc2a389f5a95f4d3d8ebcd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Washington Nationals, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $469,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $476,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $469,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 89,838$67,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,459.49 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Washington Nationals | 6c | 49,916$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.47 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 34,654$26,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,954.06 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 30,507$7,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,626.75 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 27,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,749.99 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 19,971$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.59 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 13,222$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.48 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 8c | 12,747$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 12,500$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Washington Nationals | 8c | 11,933$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 11,538$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 11,298$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.64 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 9c | 9,499$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.17 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 8,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 14c | 7,836$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.95 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 6,363$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.16 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 5,389$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 5,200$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 5,111$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.67 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 4,931$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 3,999$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.63 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…450bbacked Washington Nationals | 5c | 3,981$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Washington Nationals | 9c | 3,956$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.19 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 3,913$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.25 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 3,855$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.85 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 8c | 3,840$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.88 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Washington Nationals | 24c | 3,700$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Washington Nationals | 11c | 3,577$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.8 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Nationals | 6c | 3,510$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.94 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Washington Nationals | 4c | 3,337$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.23 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 2,785$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.19 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 2,400$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 2,245$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 1,866$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.61 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Washington Nationals | 3c | 1,459$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 1,374$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.79 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 1,223$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 5c | 1,185$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 1,174$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 1,174$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 1,039$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.45 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 1,024$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Washington Nationals | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 999$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Washington Nationals | 6c | 990$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 974.71$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Washington Nationals | 13c | 969.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.91 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Washington Nationals | 10c | 968.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 900$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 864$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…76cdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 811.25$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Washington Nationals | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 798.19$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.53 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 795.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Washington Nationals | 14c | 678.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4242…de4dbacked Washington Nationals | 5c | 676.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 669.74$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…7904backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 626$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 600.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 599.92$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 595.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 577.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Washington Nationals | 13c | 540.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…09d9backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 535.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…ef74backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 528$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Washington Nationals | 8c | 500.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…f47bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…9b43backed Washington Nationals | 3c | 499.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 492.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ebf0backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 470$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…b884backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 455.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 14c | 454.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 454$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 441.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 404$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Washington Nationals | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 391.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…1d7cbacked Washington Nationals | 14c | 346.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 336.75$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 327.51$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 327.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 312.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals | 14c | 299.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Washington Nationals | 5c | 295$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.