Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2f6c1286942e2cd360e97d2ae4af5ae901f42a083a9ca9d779a3bf11a708025
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zandschulpof Hurkacz, Zandschulp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb94c…ae33backed Hurkacz | 63c | 1,312$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.4 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Zandschulp | 37c | 648$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.24 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hurkacz | 68c | 508.54$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.42 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…4cb9backed Zandschulp | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Zandschulp | 57c | 396.74$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Zandschulp | 37c | 393.56$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.93 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hurkacz | 37c | 326.58$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Zandschulp | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Hurkacz | 42c | 298.38$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zandschulp | 58c | 238.1$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Hurkacz | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…5db2backed Hurkacz | 42c | 232.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Hurkacz | 43c | 186.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Zandschulp | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 205 | 65.4%134 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Zandschulp | 59c | 168.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Zandschulp | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Zandschulp | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Zandschulp | 56c | 89.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hurkacz | 44c | 85.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Zandschulp | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zandschulp | 33c | 75.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Hurkacz | 67c | 73.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Zandschulp | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Zandschulp | 60c | 51.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Zandschulp | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…be15backed Hurkacz | 53c | 26.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Zandschulp | 47c | 25.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Zandschulp | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)this page
- Botic van de Zandschulp vs. Hubert Hurkacz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert HurkaczBotic van de Zandschulp won
- Set 1 Winner: Zandschulp vs HurkaczHurkacz won
- Set 2 Winner: Zandschulp vs HurkaczZandschulp won
- Set Handicap: Zandschulp (-1.5) vs Hurkacz (+1.5)Hurkacz won
- Zandschulp vs. Hurkacz: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Zandschulp vs. Hurkacz: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Zandschulp vs. Hurkacz: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.