MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf40ac3bf4acb00311559af96e17ac875a5838e95ca62763dfcfad40c732da261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Miami Marlins, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 56,250$37,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,183.07 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 46,131$16,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,154.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…8f07backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 36,352$15,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,267.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 28,461$8,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,560.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 14,902$9,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,513.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 12,067$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,068.24 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Atlanta Braves | 74c | 10,073$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.49 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 8,420$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.19 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 29c | 6,691$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 6,678$4,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.12 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 5,336$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.45 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 4,688$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.75 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 4,581$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.47 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 4,296$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.58 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 3,907$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.93 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 3,906$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.13 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 3,839$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.37 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 3,820$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.33 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 3,650$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.5 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 3,516$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.31 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 3,389$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Miami Marlins | 16c | 3,250$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 3,023$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,879$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 2,549$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.07 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 2,446$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 2,386$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Atlanta Braves | 73c | 2,130$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…a09abacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,723$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.21 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,719$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.21 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,563$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.09 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,563$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.09 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,524$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.94 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Miami Marlins | 5c | 1,500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.94 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,228$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.63 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,228$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.63 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,220$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.34 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 1,205$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 78c | 1,120$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 1,075$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.25 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,014$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.88 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Miami Marlins | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 971$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.53 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 900.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 828$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 827.31$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.47 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 756.4$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 706.14$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.27 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…e37bbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 690.83$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 646.55$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.55 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 639.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…f7f9backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 627.59$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fd…a401backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 626$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 600.47$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 583$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.27 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 540$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 531.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 517.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 500.01$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 483.32$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.12 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 481.29$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.65 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 477.36$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.26 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 477.14$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 477.13$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 469$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 466.68$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 453$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 449.04$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.77 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 435.63$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 431.77$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.66 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 431.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 17c | 428.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 409$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Miami Marlins | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 390.91$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.91 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 390.68$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 362.07$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.07 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 360$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 352.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 348.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…3e10backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 341.27$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…bb0fbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 339.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 338.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.37 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 324.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 310.46$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 310.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 308.08$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 3.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.