TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6bc…42c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
498
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Lol, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 62 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT17247.7%82 W · 90 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 172 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$25.83
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$175.91
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$518
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.94
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$23
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.15
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.1
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.04
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.24
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$33.48
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.12
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.45
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.57
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.72
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 172 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$278.86
Harry Kane: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+201.9%+$171.62
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Michael Olise: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$593.41
Adrien Rabiot: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$90.52
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$390
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$113.54
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.72
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$161.52
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.24
Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$17.28
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$93.13
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$19.62
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$489.16
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.74
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$31.5
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.04
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.16
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5650%28 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquetbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$82.5
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)backed Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$64.59
Bloomfield Hills: Bruno Kuzuhara vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.24
Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$170.32
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.24
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Keninbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.5
Parma: Jesper de Jong vs Laslo Djerebacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$22.05
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkaribacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarinibacked Federico Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$24.7
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broombacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.4
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.12
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.62
Modena: Victoria Bosio vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.51
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jonesbacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.4
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.26
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjenbacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.68
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Raphael Perotbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.42
Cattolica: Miguel Tobon vs Alexander Vasilevbacked Miguel Tobon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.1
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barriosbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.62
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.62
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.07
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$33
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.84
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.32
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.84
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$31.85
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$48.91
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.72
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$94.32
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.2
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.52
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.2
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$64.19
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.08
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$32.93
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$42
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$50.31
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$61.57
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$54.05
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$65.5
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT3268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.96
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$3.15
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.36
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.56
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.02
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.31
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+159.1%+$40.52
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.1
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.66
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.52
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.93
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.88
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.68
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$13.24
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$36.87
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.07
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.48
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.79
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.9
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$30.8
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$34
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+43%+$130.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.74
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$32.8
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.58
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.42
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$23.65
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.98
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$65.36
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO5) - ESL Challenger League South America Finals Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$47.7
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.52
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.26
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$31.9
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$41.87
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.12
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.84
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.48
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$29.92
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.46
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.97
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.35
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.18
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.44
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winnerbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$95.67
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.14
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33
Game Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$21.84
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
All 21 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.13
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.63
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$42.6
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.49
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-73.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+101.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffsbacked FlyQuest RED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.54
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
All 7 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$145.4
Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$30.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+60.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick37cpaid+225.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$22.05
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$48.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+369.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+369.9%+$64.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$64.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$28.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.