TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Winthrop Universityof NRG Esports, Winthrop University
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG Esports70c20,000$13,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,984.4491854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked NRG Esports67c8,400$5,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,615.072,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Winthrop University30c6,806$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,763.911,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Winthrop University31c5,593$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,835.5290537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Winthrop University32c3,617$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.65651.8%29 W · 27 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Winthrop University45c3,596$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.211,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked NRG Esports67c3,500$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34526844%118 W · 150 L-37.1wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed Winthrop University33c3,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3454431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Winthrop University39c1,895$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.581,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Winthrop University32c1,866$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.822,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Winthrop University30c1,839$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.447648.7%37 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Winthrop University39c1,655$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.6675342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Winthrop University45c1,300$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.2846258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed NRG Esports53c1,283$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.561,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Winthrop University44c1,259$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.411,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked NRG Esports70c1,244$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.2798956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed NRG Esports67c1,068$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.8837754.1%204 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Winthrop University44c1,037$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.8128553%151 W · 134 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Winthrop University30c1,021$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.0823832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed NRG Esports71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7101,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Winthrop University31c890.96$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.2167250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Winthrop University43c848.99$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.8411145%50 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed NRG Esports70c809.99$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.4215453.9%83 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NRG Esports56c799.57$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.642,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Winthrop University36c792.12$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.8912639.7%50 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Winthrop University44c782.18$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.1839055.4%216 W · 174 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Winthrop University30c746.67$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.6723849.2%117 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked NRG Esports56c729.04$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.5242540.7%173 W · 252 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed NRG Esports53c699.98$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9915357.5%88 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Winthrop University34c693$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.3847838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed NRG Esports56c639.99$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.81,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Winthrop University30c581$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.732253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdae1…3835backed Winthrop University50c546.22$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.22944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Winthrop University31c529$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.017653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Winthrop University29c517.91$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.8227247.8%130 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Winthrop University32c512.77$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5486943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Winthrop University50c506.68$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.9486251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75bf…4ba8backed Winthrop University38c506.32$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.054540%18 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Winthrop University32c472.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.7518560.5%112 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed NRG Esports73c457.12$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.911,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked NRG Esports63c454.87$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.621,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed Winthrop University36c440.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1518036.1%65 W · 115 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Winthrop University47c421.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6341945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Winthrop University32c411.43$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9269041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb888…b15bbacked Winthrop University43c400$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick44cpaid+78.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Winthrop University40c400$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.361,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed NRG Esports51c399.99$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9225345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked NRG Esports38c383.24$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.011,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked NRG Esports12c376.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8711833.1%39 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aaa…e611backed Winthrop University37c363.85$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.421154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked NRG Esports57c362.06$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20899747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef98…68f7backed NRG Esports65c353.02$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2913145.8%60 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked NRG Esports9c335.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6666116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Winthrop University52c322.96$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.42,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd48…8e98backed Winthrop University32c310.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.85020%10 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed NRG Esports60c308.01$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0439956.6%226 W · 173 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed NRG Esports65c304.62$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19879864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked Winthrop University50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506443.8%28 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed NRG Esports59c299.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9950646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Winthrop University42c299.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.592,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked NRG Esports69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Winthrop University47c284.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6539447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ee…01aebacked Winthrop University23c281.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.9918335.5%65 W · 118 L-23.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked NRG Esports50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed NRG Esports57c279.28$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16040446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked NRG Esports11c266.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.311,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Winthrop University29c257.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6524835.1%87 W · 161 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f4…77a2backed NRG Esports70c256.67$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.447755.8%43 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed NRG Esports42c248.49$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8569841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked NRG Esports45c245.62$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked NRG Esports64c233.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46d1…8d0ebacked Winthrop University44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c18…9b0ebacked Winthrop University47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.777145.1%32 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed NRG Esports67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13427465.7%180 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked NRG Esports71c195.03$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4446154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Winthrop University32c193.7$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6864749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed NRG Esports51c192.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5923149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed NRG Esports55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009736.1%35 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e5…03fcbacked Winthrop University31c180.42$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+165%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked NRG Esports56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10071057%405 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36c7…f276backed Winthrop University52c178.24$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.63944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eef…803dbacked Winthrop University56c176.59$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4610251%52 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked Winthrop University30c165.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.112458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Winthrop University54c163.16$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.331,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked NRG Esports62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043453.5%232 W · 202 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed Winthrop University34c159.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8436749.9%183 W · 184 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7900…3393backed NRG Esports73c159.6$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9415656.4%88 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…357bbacked NRG Esports51c155.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807859%46 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Winthrop University30c153.62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7838945.2%176 W · 213 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6399…b12dbacked NRG Esports69c149.57$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.152286.4%19 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed Winthrop University33c142.79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.672176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3621…3c9fbacked NRG Esports59c135.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Winthrop University36c133.52$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7523240.5%94 W · 138 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed NRG Esports72c131.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.471947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f8…8c55backed Winthrop University40c129.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.999640.6%39 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed NRG Esports58c129$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.923357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Winthrop University40c127.24$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8974637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4374…3d05backed NRG Esports66c126.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4323748.5%115 W · 122 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Winthrop University30c124.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8447630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Winthrop University30c113.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3320439.2%80 W · 124 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.