Lol · resolved market
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75385b3db21ad7a6b4467c2e4d5ed29f5afcb306383190c9947630ada652ad14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Esportsof NRG Esports, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG Esports | 65c | 11,384$7,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.16 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Winthrop University | 34c | 6,704$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.55 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Winthrop University | 48c | 1,639$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.89 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Winthrop University | 43c | 1,406$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked NRG Esports | 55c | 1,269$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.61 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Winthrop University | 35c | 1,014$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.46 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NRG Esports | 53c | 736.45$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.09 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Winthrop University | 34c | 660$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.8 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Winthrop University | 41c | 618.82$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.15 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed NRG Esports | 66c | 612.21$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.53 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Winthrop University | 46c | 589$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.3 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Winthrop University | 45c | 575.67$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.12 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed NRG Esports | 55c | 495.4$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.93 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked NRG Esports | 67c | 464$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Winthrop University | 23c | 428.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Winthrop University | 4c | 400.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NRG Esports | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.21 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NRG Esports | 57c | 381.47$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.45 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466b…7fd3backed Winthrop University | 47c | 362.38$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.32 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed NRG Esports | 68c | 298.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Winthrop University | 28c | 265.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Winthrop University | 40c | 210$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Winthrop University | 48c | 208.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed Winthrop University | 41c | 201.2$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed NRG Esports | 56c | 178.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Winthrop University | 43c | 174.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…bebdbacked Winthrop University | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 434 | 53.5%232 W · 202 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eef…803dbacked NRG Esports | 78c | 153.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed NRG Esports | 56c | 149.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked Winthrop University | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 402 | 45.8%184 W · 218 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed Winthrop University | 37c | 130.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Winthrop University | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd48…8e98backed Winthrop University | 41c | 121.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Winthrop University | 17c | 120.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4b…50c5backed Winthrop University | 33c | 117.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…3c9fbacked Winthrop University | 39c | 113.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…82b9backed Winthrop University | 19c | 111.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Winthrop University | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked Winthrop University | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Winthrop University | 39c | 94.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ef…8444backed Winthrop University | 48c | 84.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…5e2ebacked NRG Esports | 56c | 83.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Winthrop University | 40c | 75.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5a…0088backed Winthrop University | 40c | 75.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 493 | 61.5%303 W · 190 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Winthrop University | 42c | 72.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 514 | 54.5%280 W · 234 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Winthrop University | 34c | 66.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 186 | 55.9%104 W · 82 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Winthrop University | 34c | 64.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3073…3413backed Winthrop University | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 189 | 60.3%114 W · 75 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed NRG Esports | 61c | 60.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed NRG Esports | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed NRG Esports | 55c | 51.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Winthrop University | 38c | 51.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Winthrop University | 39c | 50.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 573 | 51.3%294 W · 279 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed NRG Esports | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Winthrop University | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked NRG Esports | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Winthrop University | 40c | 45.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 295 | 54.2%160 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…d11bbacked Winthrop University | 42c | 35.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Winthrop University | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52b…baf2backed NRG Esports | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Winthrop University | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked Winthrop University | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…fa22backed Winthrop University | 38c | 30.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked NRG Esports | 67c | 30.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Winthrop University | 40c | 25.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)Winthrop University won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO5) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsWinthrop University won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 2 WinnerWinthrop University won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 3 WinnerNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 4 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.