Lol · resolved market
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd599c446a837266d0f59bff1546a64d4707c393a4fe32a0625b7add7375eaa93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Esportsof NRG Esports, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Winthrop University | 35c | 10,129$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.24 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked NRG Esports | 65c | 5,863$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.93 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked NRG Esports | 77c | 3,074$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.46 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked NRG Esports | 64c | 1,672$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.5 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Winthrop University | 5c | 1,619$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 351 | 59.5%209 W · 142 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Winthrop University | 14c | 1,498$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.81 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Winthrop University | 3c | 1,060$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed NRG Esports | 79c | 965.46$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.93 | 391 | 40.4%158 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Winthrop University | 36c | 800$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.57 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Winthrop University | 9c | 599.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked NRG Esports | 64c | 566.85$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.07 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed NRG Esports | 73c | 533.33$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Winthrop University | 22c | 524.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 92 | 18.5%17 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed NRG Esports | 65c | 505.3$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.85 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd48…8e98backed Winthrop University | 15c | 488.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Winthrop University | 32c | 469$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NRG Esports | 73c | 430.34$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.91 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed NRG Esports | 72c | 416.12$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Winthrop University | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Winthrop University | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed NRG Esports | 75c | 390$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed Winthrop University | 28c | 385.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 193 | 35.2%68 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed Winthrop University | 28c | 354.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 46%186 W · 218 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Winthrop University | 33c | 294.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 272 | 44.1%120 W · 152 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked NRG Esports | 67c | 280.78$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Winthrop University | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 483 | 38.7%187 W · 296 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed NRG Esports | 65c | 267.68$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Winthrop University | 36c | 258.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…c7eebacked Winthrop University | 36c | 248.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…b1eabacked Winthrop University | 37c | 211.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed NRG Esports | 63c | 195.95$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 509 | 45.8%233 W · 276 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NRG Esports | 76c | 174.73$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed NRG Esports | 65c | 165$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Winthrop University | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,456 | 13.2%192 W · 1,264 L | -111.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Winthrop University | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed NRG Esports | 65c | 146.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd933…6a68backed Winthrop University | 20c | 142.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked NRG Esports | 77c | 142.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Winthrop University | 18c | 135.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…c3debacked NRG Esports | 67c | 132.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed NRG Esports | 77c | 129.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed NRG Esports | 78c | 127.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Winthrop University | 32c | 122.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NRG Esports | 73c | 122.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked Winthrop University | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 402 | 45.8%184 W · 218 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed NRG Esports | 65c | 101.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 238 | 48.7%116 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed NRG Esports | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 188 | 63.3%119 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Winthrop University | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…b2a6backed Winthrop University | 22c | 91.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed NRG Esports | 76c | 83.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Winthrop University | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 324 | 36.7%119 W · 205 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…5e2ebacked NRG Esports | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Winthrop University | 17c | 71.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked Winthrop University | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 697 | 46.8%326 W · 371 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Winthrop University | 36c | 68.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…96f3backed Winthrop University | 20c | 59.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed NRG Esports | 71c | 50.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked NRG Esports | 79c | 47.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…b63fbacked NRG Esports | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed NRG Esports | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed NRG Esports | 71c | 36.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked NRG Esports | 64c | 35.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 963 | 48.7%469 W · 494 L | +28.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed NRG Esports | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 43 | 81.4%35 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)Winthrop University won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO5) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsWinthrop University won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 1 WinnerNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 2 WinnerWinthrop University won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 4 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.