TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6399…b12d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2286.4%19 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.1
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$31.73
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$20.28
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.21
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.05
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$78.28
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$54.93
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$67.69
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$51.68
LoL: CCG Esports vs Conviction (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$104.1
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$95.15
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$54.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$47.07
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winnerbacked NRG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.15
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$22.9
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$50.1
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$29.45
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$48.93
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$31.01
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$80.39
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$71.33
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$42.22
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.67
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$28.46
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58%+$15.66
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.47
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.49
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+30%+$69.64
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$105.65
Little Rock: Michael Mmoh vs Bernard Tomicbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$47.01
Roland Garros WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$65.58
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$67.44
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.42
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$59.33
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.52
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$26.38
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$20.47
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$67.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Zhang Mingyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.