TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
mCon esportsof Once Upon A Team, mCon esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff34…694bbacked Once Upon A Team50c2,367$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.971,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Once Upon A Team1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked mCon esports61c1,326$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.071,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Once Upon A Team39c1,188$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.592,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddf1…d4aebacked mCon esports57c1,172$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.3710758.9%63 W · 44 L+10.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae69…6e71backed Once Upon A Team29c1,100$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.3711521.7%25 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Once Upon A Team39c1,061$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.251,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf21…d34abacked mCon esports79c1,059$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6814461.8%89 W · 55 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7253…0558backed Once Upon A Team38c1,046$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018236.8%67 W · 115 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Once Upon A Team38c913.28$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.057537.3%28 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked mCon esports61c859.13$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.2143442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Once Upon A Team33c857.73$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.341,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked mCon esports61c797.53$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.964358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked mCon esports62c788.09$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.4840145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked mCon esports61c731.41$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.7124445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed mCon esports63c730.72$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.341,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked mCon esports66c726.61$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.4523740.5%96 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed mCon esports67c678.92$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.511,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked mCon esports52c658$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.082,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed mCon esports46c633.74$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.131,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked mCon esports54c522$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.841,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked mCon esports57c512.29$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1820535.1%72 W · 133 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Once Upon A Team41c505$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0538640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Once Upon A Team50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked mCon esports63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1854332.6%14 W · 29 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcac4…d1acbacked Once Upon A Team38c481.76$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.881910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-63%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed mCon esports61c481$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.871,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed mCon esports40c440$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.28331.3%26 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed Once Upon A Team43c425.4$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.659149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Once Upon A Team37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed mCon esports44c384.63$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9536749.9%183 W · 184 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x762a…6d1dbacked mCon esports79c379.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.851181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed Once Upon A Team40c373.21$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1486738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Once Upon A Team39c372.95$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4548742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b24…ba5cbacked mCon esports51c369.54$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Once Upon A Team5c359.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.261140%0 W · 114 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4498…473dbacked mCon esports63c346.49$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked Once Upon A Team36c342.43$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.711450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed mCon esports51c339.42$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4624235.5%86 W · 156 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Once Upon A Team38c332.7$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.435334%18 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed mCon esports52c328.5$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5832755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Once Upon A Team35c319.65$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6312934.9%45 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Once Upon A Team49c313.76$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2131244.6%139 W · 173 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed Once Upon A Team39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1173354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Once Upon A Team49c286.13$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.081,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed mCon esports66c277.01$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.298149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed mCon esports60c273.77$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.691,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed mCon esports34c271.23$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0869841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1052…441bbacked Once Upon A Team38c266.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022558.2%131 W · 94 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Once Upon A Team34c252.66$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9135545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked mCon esports37c250$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.51,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed mCon esports55c243$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3582554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Once Upon A Team62c242.18$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8963646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked mCon esports32c229.87$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8816241.4%67 W · 95 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Once Upon A Team37c218.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8112644.4%56 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c23…2f97backed Once Upon A Team37c213.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805234.6%18 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked mCon esports49c213.31$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.427841%32 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4038…35e4backed mCon esports59c205.52$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.261216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-68.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed mCon esports55c204.4$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.893,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Once Upon A Team38c202.72$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.159844.9%44 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ee…01aebacked Once Upon A Team50c200.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9818335.5%65 W · 118 L-23.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked mCon esports63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7440741.5%169 W · 238 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed mCon esports67c194$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.02850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe93c…76ebbacked mCon esports63c191.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.078242.7%35 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x805b…ee0cbacked Once Upon A Team37c185$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.453243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Once Upon A Team35c173.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1321844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Once Upon A Team39c169$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9166845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed mCon esports60c168.61$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.442236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Once Upon A Team36c166.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7960243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed mCon esports63c166$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.36243.5%27 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked mCon esports54c164.24$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.286159%36 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x640e…e904backed Once Upon A Team37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602711.1%3 W · 24 L-7.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-64.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6f47…b8f2backed Once Upon A Team37c160$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7a…aaaebacked mCon esports63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7326151.7%135 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed mCon esports49c154$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5424835.1%87 W · 161 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Once Upon A Team31c149.73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0140231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd48…8e98backed mCon esports31c139.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.265020%10 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe199…0f26backed Once Upon A Team12c136.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeedc…41d9backed Once Upon A Team39c135.46$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+54%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac7b…7cebbacked Once Upon A Team38c134$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.589037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3561…1bfebacked mCon esports47c133.63$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0125165.7%165 W · 86 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x970f…f167backed mCon esports45c132$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2610654.7%58 W · 48 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed mCon esports72c131$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6830643.1%132 W · 174 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked mCon esports45c129.88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8849451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed mCon esports63c129.53$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.539239.1%36 W · 56 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Once Upon A Team34c128.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6449841.6%207 W · 291 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked mCon esports64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4514266.9%95 W · 47 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Once Upon A Team66c125$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.12875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+35.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked Once Upon A Team27c124.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411329.2%33 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed mCon esports60c122.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7867931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed mCon esports50c120.69$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.092,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed mCon esports59c120.51$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Once Upon A Team35c119.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.391833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Once Upon A Team34c118.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.541,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Once Upon A Team30c114$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.52,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Once Upon A Team43c113.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.025448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Once Upon A Team53c109.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6378043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed mCon esports35c108.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.468618.6%16 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Once Upon A Team46c107.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5062739.9%250 W · 377 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Once Upon A Team36c107.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.74940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.