Lol · resolved market
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01af7d2d022eae2e2f7dec7cbed4321ea74dca64032e27391ebea7cb62dd0d84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Once Upon A Teamof Once Upon A Team, mCon esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed mCon esports | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked mCon esports | 56c | 275.07$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…d1acbacked Once Upon A Team | 44c | 270.07$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.24 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked mCon esports | 6c | 232.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 114 | 0%0 W · 114 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked mCon esports | 25c | 167.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Once Upon A Team | 74c | 123.63$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked mCon esports | 23c | 110.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed mCon esports | 13c | 90.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd48…8e98backed mCon esports | 38c | 79.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed mCon esports | 27c | 77.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed mCon esports | 49c | 72.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed mCon esports | 18c | 64.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed mCon esports | 41c | 45.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…b241backed Once Upon A Team | 50c | 30.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Once Upon A Team | 65c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MCN (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)Once Upon A Team won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends PlayoffsmCon esports won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 1 WinnermCon esports won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 2 WinnerOnce Upon A Team won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 4 WinnermCon esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.