Lol · resolved market
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03e7f4aa216e816e251f16c01cdc3693d26e23c03ec9a2195e108d1694e250a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mCon esportsof Once Upon A Team, mCon esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Once Upon A Team | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed mCon esports | 29c | 411.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.22 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Once Upon A Team | 66c | 349.05$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.26 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Once Upon A Team | 60c | 307.71$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked mCon esports | 32c | 239.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed mCon esports | 73c | 120.64$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153e…7d1bbacked Once Upon A Team | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Once Upon A Team | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Once Upon A Team | 60c | 93.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Once Upon A Team | 23c | 77.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked mCon esports | 72c | 72.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked mCon esports | 50c | 68.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…0bffbacked Once Upon A Team | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 32.4%73 W · 152 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250d…7b5fbacked Once Upon A Team | 64c | 62.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed mCon esports | 53c | 60.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed mCon esports | 62c | 35.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Once Upon A Team | 52c | 34.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 170 | 40%68 W · 102 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Once Upon A Team | 69c | 32.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Once Upon A Team | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 164 | 62.8%103 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed mCon esports | 48c | 26.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…cbdcbacked mCon esports | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…d71cbacked mCon esports | 67c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…689bbacked mCon esports | 47c | 22.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…3513backed mCon esports | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b5c4backed mCon esports | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…bbfbbacked mCon esports | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked mCon esports | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…1082backed mCon esports | 70c | 16.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MCN (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)Once Upon A Team won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends PlayoffsmCon esports won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 1 WinnermCon esports won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 2 WinnerOnce Upon A Team won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 3 WinnerOnce Upon A Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.