TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7253…0558

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT18236.8%67 W · 115 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 182 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs MIBR.LOS (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL Cross Regional 2026: C9 vs DNSbacked C9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$241.54
LoL Cross Regional 2026: DNS vs LOSbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.65
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$185.94
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$268.18
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)backed LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$194.67
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.83
Showing 25 of 182 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick4cpaid-27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+629.9%+$1,259.85
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Donyell Malen be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$63.89
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$57.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$51.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+222.6%+$66.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+122.2%+$73.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.