TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$290,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$301,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,003 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb784…61d0backed No46c52,601$24,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,363.181136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes56c20,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.972642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes51c11,567$5,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,918.763,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked No44c11,263$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,262.631145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes44c10,404$4,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,529.161850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes55c9,966$5,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,450.5552243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No48c9,223$4,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,832.8884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No47c8,472$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,471.821428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d75…c09fbacked No44c7,174$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,014.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-33.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No41c7,100$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,192.784843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes58c7,000$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,059.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Yes57c6,951$3,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,991.07580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No55c6,198$3,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,790.437554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9501353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked No41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.971010%1 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick29cpaid-75.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c4,805$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.1514740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes58c4,729$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.3719934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes60c3,306$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-60.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.991540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.9710960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No43c2,907$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.973455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes55c2,861$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes57c2,632$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4009954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x712a…8ef9backed Yes45c2,369$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes57c2,339$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3331154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.581181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes45c2,295$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.626637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec49…ec5bbacked No44c2,221$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0801…8550backed Yes56c2,150$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No44c2,013$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.296145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes56c1,815$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes15c1,728$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2634436.4%16 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf58…9c69backed Yes28c1,616$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes52c1,581$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.9244952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fe…20a0backed Yes57c1,571$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.581241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked Yes59c1,525$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c1,384$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.3476941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x710b…ce8fbacked Yes10c1,352$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4263…7c89backed No45c1,267$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No44c1,200$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6759852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes55c1,116$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.621353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No44c1,107$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.94852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes56c1,027$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes57c1,016$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.072343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes58c1,002$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.9812336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56055545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aba…a21ebacked Yes60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcae0…79eebacked No43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick28cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No43c999.94$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.977963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No41c975.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.619748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Yes57c964.91$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a24…328abacked Yes53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No44c907$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.833132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca51…fca8backed Yes54c900$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc16d…39a2backed Yes57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c829.22$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.252,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade6…e948backed No46c797.83$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes59c758.13$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.310055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6936…be97backed Yes4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3837…a012backed Yes59c739.81$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e8…6001backed Yes56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+41.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No43c700.77$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.448545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Yes38c689.15$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.751866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes46c684$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.84353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes49c670.3$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No41c648$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.522560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No46c640$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.66753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Yes57c612.28$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4951…42e3backed No41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a1…dd09backed No41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes46c598$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.052425%6 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x00fa…5ce9backed Yes59c590.69$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes40c567.95$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No41c538.35$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.6311843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No44c511.36$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3620132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c6…ceaebacked Yes59c510$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931b…0f2dbacked Yes59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe39b…67e6backed Yes56c498.45$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No44c495$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.21866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+73.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes42c487.54$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0513040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked Yes56c483.93$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271812.5%1 W · 7 L-4.1wins-0.51per pick63cpaid-72.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes29c477.78$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15bd…1457backed Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89cf…5f47backed Yes59c423.52$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a7…4293backed Yes32c411.5$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.58922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes28c369.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.62075%15 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+67%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x45b4…e428backed No46c365.87$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes57c351.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005048%24 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.51758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes60c348$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.85856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked No41c346.34$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.34977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.