TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00fa…5ce9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Medjedovic (+1.5)backed Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$103.07
Rotterdam Open: Guy Den Ouden vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Rotterdam Open: Zizou Bergs vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$222.09
Dallas Open: Marin Cilic vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60.52
Set 1 Winner: Cilic vs Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.95
Rotterdam Open: Quentin Halys vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+158.8%+$86.42
Halys vs. Rottgering: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+97.4%+$29.22
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Djokovic vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$169
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$278.88
Djokovic vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+152.9%+$359.78
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+99.7%+$219.55
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.71
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+331.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+159.5%+$49.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+41.1%+$33.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$308.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$348.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.