Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd37c962d20d0d636f738b81ce6fe3e13a9ddec47100559cbf6706c1238178c6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 66c | 11,805$7,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,791.09 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 34c | 11,021$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,287.86 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Yes | 34c | 2,926$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,761$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.15 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 67c | 2,623$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 966.64$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.77 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 32c | 818$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.06 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 32c | 816.96$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.98 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 767.29$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.91 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed No | 69c | 720.29$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed No | 70c | 719.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 33c | 703$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.01 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 30c | 673.86$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed No | 68c | 658.25$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 32c | 569.01$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.11 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed No | 69c | 555.21$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 36c | 550.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 68c | 476.81$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…03a6backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed No | 68c | 253$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.45 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 69c | 249.48$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…871cbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 32c | 165.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 65c | 148.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 70c | 143.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 66c | 119.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 105$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 68c | 99.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 34c | 96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 31c | 95.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 34c | 93.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 34c | 79.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 33c | 76.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…072dbacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 34c | 57.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…374bbacked No | 67c | 57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked No | 68c | 52.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e955backed Yes | 32c | 48.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…5ce9backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Yes | 33c | 44.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6224…ca27backed No | 68c | 37.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…4385backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 68c | 34.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked No | 68c | 33.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…b135backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…ca61backed Yes | 33c | 31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…aa0ebacked No | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked No | 69c | 15.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…922ebacked No | 69c | 15.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.