Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00dfd99119cfaa3d391b2d78c60e276d9881c8c5dfac85e557596df351ddd6f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 44c | 5,350$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.22 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.94 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 4,393$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.42 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 43c | 3,280$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.6 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 56c | 2,683$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.48 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222c…0772backed Over | 47c | 2,617$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 1,814$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.24 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 75c | 1,323$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 56c | 1,227$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.03 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Under | 38c | 1,200$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 1,059$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.39 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 45c | 888$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 79c | 820.98$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 44c | 780.8$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.21 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Over | 48c | 759.11$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.74 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 43c | 676.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Under | 52c | 515.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.12 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…edf2backed Under | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Under | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 54c | 464.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 41c | 460$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa243…6080backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 59c | 450$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.5 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 21c | 360.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…2591backed Under | 54c | 347.76$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf7…1bf1backed Over | 47c | 342.16$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…3b0cbacked Over | 74c | 331.89$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 78c | 255.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 44c | 222.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 60c | 200.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 44c | 170$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 28c | 155.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Over | 40c | 151.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Under | 40c | 150.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 54c | 150.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 134.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 56c | 131.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 53c | 129.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…06d4backed Under | 27c | 122.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 72c | 121.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 14c | 120.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 45c | 107.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Over | 44c | 107.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 55c | 95.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 57c | 95.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 88.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 43c | 88.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…c296backed Under | 39c | 81.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 56c | 79.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 55c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 53c | 69.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Under | 57c | 64.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 32c | 63.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…7c0fbacked Under | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Under | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 53c | 59.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 58.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 41c | 53.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…56e1backed Over | 77c | 52.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…1050backed Over | 44c | 45.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…336bbacked Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 44c | 43.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…2056backed Over | 45c | 43.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 41.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…b004backed Under | 56c | 36.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 36.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…9a13backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532a…bfefbacked Over | 47c | 35.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.