Tennis · resolved market
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2882ee3e71a34722209d6c83c054922febda1e462d33d06c6293c19711b3daaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $513,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 475 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ab4…d3dabacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 56c | 17,289$9,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,571.43 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6002…3407backed Yes | 60c | 15,431$9,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,258.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0073…d7d5backed No | 40c | 15,431$6,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,258.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked No | 67c | 11,828$7,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf65backed Yes | 59c | 11,430$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 52c | 10,845$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.85 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed Yes | 56c | 10,758$6,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,047.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed No | 37c | 10,014$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,308.93 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 39c | 9,646$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,884 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 36cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed No | 58c | 8,927$5,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.15 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked No | 53c | 8,637$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.03 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 59c | 8,608$5,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.41 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 43c | 8,507$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.25 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 45c | 8,314$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,728.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes | 60c | 6,845$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.05 | 750 | 46.8%351 W · 399 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 58c | 6,572$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…f71bbacked Yes | 44c | 6,330$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 48c | 5,588$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.26 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 5,301$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.72 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…713cbacked Yes | 36c | 5,249$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…31c0backed No | 52c | 4,926$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 35c | 4,908$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.72 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…e888backed No | 45c | 4,575$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.66 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 42c | 4,213$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.46 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 44c | 4,193$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.22 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 45c | 4,069$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.04 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…8df1backed Yes | 57c | 3,948$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…fea3backed No | 41c | 3,810$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 47c | 3,705$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.97 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…1d6ebacked Yes | 54c | 3,607$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Yes | 35c | 3,588$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.21 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 64c | 3,527$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.89 | 1,151 | 44.4%511 W · 640 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe1…e6d3backed Yes | 60c | 3,517$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…390abacked Yes | 30c | 3,296$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 43c | 3,005$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.15 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 54c | 2,875$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.9 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 77c | 2,608$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.89 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…4eb2backed Yes | 63c | 2,581$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Yes | 69c | 2,480$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…14a1backed Yes | 61c | 2,442$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Yes | 56c | 2,401$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.59 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 37c | 2,400$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.64 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 43c | 2,399$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.79 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 44c | 2,353$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.84 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 60c | 2,330$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.49 | 226 | 23.9%54 W · 172 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 42c | 2,310$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.54 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…7aebbacked No | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.69 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed Yes | 54c | 2,261$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…cad3backed Yes | 61c | 2,246$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…92b8backed No | 65c | 2,231$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…c079backed Yes | 37c | 2,200$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 57c | 2,195$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.94 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 60c | 2,168$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.83 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…1832backed Yes | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…d4a9backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Yes | 38c | 1,800$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 268 | 33.6%90 W · 178 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 41c | 1,769$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.57 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…5533backed Yes | 42c | 1,673$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Yes | 63c | 1,588$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Yes | 47c | 1,521$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddec…0015backed No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.83 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…3105backed Yes | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…bbf0backed Yes | 60c | 1,398$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 61c | 1,328$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.95 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…489dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,318$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 59c | 1,310$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.24 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f78…efa9backed No | 41c | 1,260$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 61c | 1,236$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.59 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 52c | 1,202$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…a4b6backed Yes | 5c | 1,185$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 58c | 1,141$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 58c | 1,092$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.49 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Yes | 43c | 1,020$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…aa72backed Yes | 55c | 1,007$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x937a…dbc8backed Yes | 40c | 1,006$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +292.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed No | 63c | 999.97$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…0c23backed Yes | 55c | 990.08$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Yes | 60c | 980$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…82d3backed Yes | 60c | 979.07$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…ec96backed Yes | 54c | 926.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 56c | 908.25$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…d191backed Yes | 44c | 887.24$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…f6aabacked Yes | 55c | 887.16$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba72…143bbacked Yes | 58c | 885.6$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 47c | 857.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.98 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4e…51a7backed No | 54c | 826$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 46c | 823.95$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698e…25eabacked Yes | 53c | 802.74$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…ffd6backed No | 60c | 801.48$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed No | 43c | 799.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked Yes | 41c | 787.95$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 53c | 757.25$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.38 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 25c | 746.74$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?this page
- Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Clara Tauson win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes won
- Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Elise Mertens win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Emma Raducanu win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Karolína Muchová win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Paula Badosa win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.