Tennis · resolved market
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9209f79492e89928758ef6e22b05ff800dcf93780fbae1902fc4e985580f3016
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 13c | 79,692$10,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,078.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,650$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…ab04backed Yes | 13c | 3,003$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Yes | 12c | 2,958$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 12c | 2,400$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.29 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 11c | 1,575$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.55 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…f407backed Yes | 2c | 1,498$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 99 | 6.1%6 W · 93 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 13c | 1,285$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.14 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,283$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 11c | 1,189$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.19 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 8c | 999.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 17c | 835.53$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 713.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…1b50backed Yes | 15c | 689.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…489dbacked Yes | 12c | 628.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 565.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…8df1backed Yes | 9c | 535.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed Yes | 12c | 499.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 12c | 488.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 10c | 403$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…87d2backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 381.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 15c | 358$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…59f3backed Yes | 15c | 336.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 10c | 302.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Yes | 14c | 283.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…261fbacked Yes | 9c | 273.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 243 | 57.6%140 W · 103 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf881…f259backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 8c | 241.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82d4…a7f5backed Yes | 10c | 237.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 10c | 228.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Yes | 13c | 225.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…567ebacked Yes | 11c | 196$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 11c | 152$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 12c | 151$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4e…51a7backed Yes | 10c | 145$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…226cbacked Yes | 11c | 136.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…d472backed Yes | 11c | 136$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 11c | 126.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…e212backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1738…7ca1backed Yes | 13c | 111.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 15c | 109.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 13cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -95.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…b10abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…d3b9backed Yes | 13c | 92.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?this page
- Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Clara Tauson win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes won
- Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Elise Mertens win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Emma Raducanu win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Karolína Muchová win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Paula Badosa win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.