Tennis · resolved market
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc62204f17a4620e4f90dfee0e699b265cc2e33d56d4620d89057e957e5f92978
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 4c | 5,982$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.16 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,722$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…8df1backed Yes | 7c | 5,631$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 3c | 5,102$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeef…3dafbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…f407backed Yes | 1c | 4,610$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 99 | 6.1%6 W · 93 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 3c | 4,461$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…f17dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,326$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Yes | 2c | 3,300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…4ddebacked Yes | 8c | 2,824$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 4c | 2,698$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 2c | 2,405$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,004$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a2…bef8backed Yes | 1c | 1,997$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Yes | 3c | 1,801$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…bd20backed Yes | 2c | 1,713$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 1,045$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…3700backed Yes | 6c | 698$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Yes | 3c | 643.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e65…635dbacked Yes | 7c | 624.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 4c | 527$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…c1eebacked Yes | 2c | 495.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…5aeebacked Yes | 8c | 490.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 7c | 482.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a5…dea0backed Yes | 3c | 433.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…489dbacked Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 7c | 399.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…5840backed Yes | 6c | 366$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…8135backed Yes | 8c | 344.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked Yes | 5c | 341$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc8…cd76backed Yes | 4c | 339.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…53f6backed Yes | 6c | 325.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4c…de5bbacked Yes | 7c | 324.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…be65backed Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…4935backed Yes | 8c | 295.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Yes | 8c | 260.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes | 8c | 239$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddf…13a9backed Yes | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked Yes | 8c | 217.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…dcdfbacked Yes | 7c | 216.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace8…5524backed Yes | 8c | 203.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 192.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…d0ebbacked Yes | 7c | 185$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 7c | 177$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…eb03backed Yes | 8c | 168.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?this page
- Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Clara Tauson win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes won
- Will Elise Mertens win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Emma Raducanu win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Karolína Muchová win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Paula Badosa win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
- Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.