TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$420,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$412,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c80…02c3backed Yes30c139,200$41,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,823.623525.7%9 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed No60c66,932$40,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,211.811230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeef…3dafbacked Yes17c15,731$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,117.66119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Yes40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0006541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed No61c9,994$6,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,096.52933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Yes61c9,360$5,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,652.891172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x893f…f7e9backed No73c6,856$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes30c6,664$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,696.73728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes27c6,474$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,713.4623731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes52c6,144$3,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,933.4324544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No44c6,004$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.2657939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes39c5,260$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,208.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick36cpaid+76.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes32c4,962$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,364.618226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes55c4,569$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.617,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No60c3,644$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.425949.2%29 W · 30 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfed7…043ebacked No66c3,623$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a57…14a1backed Yes28c3,517$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+91.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes27c3,475$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.141931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3fb…4a87backed Yes40c3,078$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked No58c3,000$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d21…0876backed No60c2,889$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac0…c5debacked Yes40c2,842$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a57…f2abbacked No60c2,832$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x953b…599cbacked Yes40c2,832$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed No37c2,741$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.2376146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes21c2,576$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.1932031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd046…3432backed Yes40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Yes13c2,490$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.232123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceae…1cedbacked Yes15c2,423$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.56128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Yes13c2,404$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.837057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d55…88fabacked No60c2,137$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Yes14c2,100$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.3726833.6%90 W · 178 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd462…eac9backed Yes40c2,091$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x094d…59f3backed Yes30c2,063$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.644938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Yes15c2,007$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.27450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+292.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Yes25c1,969$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47742839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes11c1,800$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.983745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes22c1,788$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.182020%4 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58f0…815dbacked Yes40c1,767$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…492cbacked No60c1,692$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8509…dee2backed Yes31c1,635$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+107%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9329…9d3ebacked Yes41c1,597$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.151136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes29c1,548$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.213441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4266…5305backed Yes62c1,532$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Yes27c1,524$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.27742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes34c1,397$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.591513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-55.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e0…d457backed Yes39c1,277$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.691127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed No53c1,242$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.831010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-87.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes59c1,178$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.9538652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes20c1,122$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.3452750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd3…6edabacked No60c1,068$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes15c1,032$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.932941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…fc34backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd3…8debbacked Yes40c981.62$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Yes24c956$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.887032.9%23 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes21c948.56$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.1744423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes39c933.95$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.8263144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x539d…0213backed No63c917$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.711040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ec…ab04backed Yes31c905.31$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.055648.2%27 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66f9…aca2backed Yes26c893.85$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+93.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes24c891.13$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.911,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No46c850.27$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.412147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3c…7cd3backed No61c846.43$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5366…73aabacked No80c830$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes11c829.96$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.6710443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked No62c817.98$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.9212033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No46c794.1$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.512,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2fa…8135backed Yes13c768.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.761921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43bf…713cbacked Yes15c760$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6461040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b75…6679backed Yes53c756.11$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.1112350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a2…bef8backed Yes30c744.91$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.671315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No66c740.87$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.544434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes16c738.38$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Yes14c720.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.0539438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd30b…1b50backed Yes34c699.45$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.454231%13 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x275f…39d9backed Yes34c672.25$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c7…9defbacked Yes39c668.77$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Yes14c665.71$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.7128754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb7…489dbacked Yes15c659$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.23714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x211e…35ddbacked Yes56c620.26$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.712650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38eb…5257backed Yes12c600$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5295326.4%14 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked No62c595$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed No60c590$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No74c586.22$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.231963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes35c568.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.392814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e3…5889backed Yes35c536$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9b…eb64backed Yes29c532$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+70.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes39c522.37$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.3736038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes13c500$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4352920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3654626.1%12 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2f0…0cb6backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…7922backed Yes13c500$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x009e…47e6backed Yes29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3552100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+170.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48e…b476backed Yes10c497.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.8617439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46b6…d6d2backed No60c490$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x724d…8deabacked Yes36c484.29$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.07933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007751.9%40 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc55…3236backed Yes14c465.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.451040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f1…137cbacked Yes40c452.5$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.