TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x094d…59f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.14
ATX Open: Xinyu Wang vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Ealabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Qatar Total Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+80.8%+$16.16
Qatar Total Open: Alycia Parks vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$41.13
Qatar Total Open: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osoriobacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+86.9%+$335.13
Qatar Total Open: Alexandra Eala vs Tereza Valentovabacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Qatar Total Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Vera Zvonareva vs Shuai Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Hailey Baptistebacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$159
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+494.4%+$60.2
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sonay Kartal vs Sara Bejlekbacked Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$242.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$28.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.