TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sonay Kartal vs Sara Bejlek

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bejlekof Kartal, Bejlek
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$253,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2727…eef4backed Kartal33c30,016$9,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,945.7219134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kartal23c18,333$4,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,203.912,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Bejlek40c14,837$5,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,941.9535247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kartal36c8,134$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,942.592,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Kartal71c6,525$4,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,631.964560%27 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kartal27c6,043$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.122,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Kartal70c5,960$4,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,17223126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe20…c1d8backed Bejlek30c5,400$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,794560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Bejlek33c4,900$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,282.9310443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Kartal0c4,049$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.993834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Bejlek30c3,719$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.3916830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Bejlek37c3,536$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.8911560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Bejlek28c3,400$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.932352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Bejlek29c3,363$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.8241645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kartal46c3,352$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.598,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b68…6f4ebacked Bejlek29c3,300$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+54%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Kartal72c3,172$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.149645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kartal12c2,800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.5222641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Kartal72c2,793$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bejlek29c2,650$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.521338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kartal67c2,541$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.5514450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kartal33c2,471$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.252,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Bejlek44c2,144$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.5630645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Bejlek29c2,100$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4917736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Kartal71c1,954$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38728039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Kartal43c1,927$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.514654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kartal72c1,828$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.3317452.9%92 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Bejlek60c1,669$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.728053.8%43 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Bejlek30c1,666$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.7184857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Bejlek64c1,568$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56814250.7%72 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbbc4…c01ebacked Bejlek30c1,200$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b72…751ebacked Kartal70c1,200$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kartal39c1,195$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.52,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Bejlek55c1,188$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.9615951.6%82 W · 77 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Bejlek29c1,130$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.537230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bejlek77c1,130$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9165647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Bejlek29c1,113$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.344448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd6…3779backed Kartal71c1,100$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-74.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63d0…87ccbacked Kartal70c1,100$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a89…bfddbacked Kartal71c1,100$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Kartal71c1,056$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75015862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Bejlek48c1,045$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.4310547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf05…f8e1backed Kartal66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6602152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Kartal6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6037540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x461f…582fbacked Kartal70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kartal20c900.83$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kartal46c892.95$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.83,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bejlek29c800.28$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.9476140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Bejlek76c800.11$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1731647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Bejlek70c715.6$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.644163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Bejlek60c700.47$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.4755646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f6e0backed Kartal70c700$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5806…5863backed Kartal71c700$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Kartal11c687.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7310150.5%51 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f3…8f96backed Bejlek74c676.08$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.081989.5%17 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+50.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Kartal23c655.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Bejlek32c623.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.3623735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Kartal69c594.37$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.1138652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bejlek74c581.61$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.144,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x826d…9947backed Kartal71c550$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0275…d186backed Bejlek75c533.46$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick61cpaid-62.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ea6…0890backed Kartal6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307724.7%19 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb88a…3e55backed Kartal70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Bejlek60c477.69$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6916665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bejlek61c470.34$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.257,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Kartal43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d3…af3ebacked Kartal71c450$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Bejlek30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28025544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Bejlek50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20016133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Bejlek28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28866831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7340…4656backed Kartal71c400$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dbe…2516backed Kartal71c400$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…4ec7backed Kartal70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Bejlek29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.835628.6%16 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Bejlek29c344.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8242046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed Bejlek76c336$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.842065%13 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6756…8edcbacked Bejlek30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kartal64c332.61$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.566,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x495b…8762backed Kartal13c331.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.07966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Kartal25c329$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8169249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Kartal72c328.12$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.328052.5%42 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Bejlek61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Kartal64c314.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4528952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82cb…a4eebacked Kartal72c307.6$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.473053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a5…d47bbacked Bejlek71c303$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.87966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c2…3fc7backed Kartal26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Bejlek31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20712740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf507…b7d1backed Kartal70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Kartal56c290.26$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.289761.9%60 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Kartal71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bejlek30c259.04$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.641,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kartal49c247.02$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.541,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Bejlek31c246.61$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1612735.4%45 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Kartal70c232.86$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Bejlek69c226.09$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.096732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Bejlek29c212$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5216046.9%75 W · 85 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0f…2818backed Kartal18c210.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.49850%4 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+87.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Kartal72c208.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Bejlek34c205.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.881,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa913…cd20backed Kartal14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.