TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Oleksandra Oliynykova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oliynykovaof Wang, Oliynykova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$435,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$547,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Oliynykova28c79,977$22,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,591.5212533.6%42 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wang72c41,930$30,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,134.9111,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Wang53c18,783$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wang40c15,477$6,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,143.762,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wang47c9,190$4,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,316.692,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Oliynykova19c7,856$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,379.017630.3%23 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Wang64c6,218$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Wang63c5,815$3,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,658.669746.4%45 W · 52 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Wang74c5,528$4,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,090.573956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Wang1c5,260$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.333834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Oliynykova34c4,767$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.131647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oliynykova42c4,680$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.268,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oliynykova32c4,343$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.7965647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Oliynykova46c4,251$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.622564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Wang73c3,898$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,84480938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Oliynykova32c3,824$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.737540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Wang73c3,810$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,781.32944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Wang49c3,586$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.6865959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Oliynykova17c3,553$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.0616830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oliynykova30c3,344$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.343,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Oliynykova48c3,142$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.082133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wang55c2,528$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.817,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb729…4e2ebacked Wang55c2,277$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Oliynykova35c2,124$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.744,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Oliynykova58c2,069$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.97650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Oliynykova49c2,041$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.6430845.5%140 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Oliynykova16c2,007$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.5922641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Wang42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Wang56c1,995$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.968040%32 W · 48 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Oliynykova32c1,960$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.566,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Wang50c1,928$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.934250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Oliynykova16c1,874$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.2716340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Oliynykova42c1,846$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.0673745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Wang77c1,725$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.361,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Wang50c1,701$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.4513641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Oliynykova53c1,597$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.741,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Wang55c1,420$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.62,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06af…11cbbacked Wang41c1,387$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.832334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wang72c1,308$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.476,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Oliynykova38c1,220$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.5212335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7b…3a0dbacked Oliynykova34c1,189$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Wang35c1,138$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Oliynykova24c1,055$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.965628.6%16 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Oliynykova15c1,051$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.4911343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Oliynykova18c1,046$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Oliynykova10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90055646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Oliynykova15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85023126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Oliynykova52c955.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.3544754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Oliynykova33c900$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.0525542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Wang36c894.61$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Oliynykova17c888$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73826158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Oliynykova35c885.34$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.562,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Oliynykova34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.3541645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Oliynykova36c806.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.5136038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Wang41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9516133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0735…4d2cbacked Oliynykova3c785.12$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.56425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+733.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Wang53c756$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.0169249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Wang36c668.42$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Oliynykova8c643.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.219757.9%77 W · 898 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Wang40c536.26$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1152037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ea6…0890backed Oliynykova5c499.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.997724.7%19 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Oliynykova53c488.86$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.863265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Wang67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009761.9%60 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Oliynykova46c414.45$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.391442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Wang49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19038739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Oliynykova16c381.25$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.256835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Oliynykova48c359.28$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8616132.3%52 W · 109 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wang72c341.33$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.787,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Wang72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Oliynykova17c294.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1212722%28 W · 99 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Oliynykova72c287.29$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6714766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Wang9c272$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4875748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Wang36c269.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Wang63c264.65$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.16,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Wang52c260.37$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3929152.6%153 W · 138 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Oliynykova16c250$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5fe…e23dbacked Oliynykova9c250$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.56929%20 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf5e…980cbacked Oliynykova11c245.51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.151060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+88.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Wang42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035248.6%171 W · 181 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Oliynykova14c233.81$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.084,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Oliynykova6c233.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.339248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc81…e072backed Oliynykova9c225.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.73336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb0…4cd4backed Oliynykova16c224$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.162045%9 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Oliynykova31c209$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.098445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Oliynykova16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16867131.3%210 W · 461 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Wang48c199.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Oliynykova26c195.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.681,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Oliynykova52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314055%22 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x848c…bfebbacked Oliynykova56c176.72$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.251573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Wang57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010743%46 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9869…e817backed Oliynykova51c174.05$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.732365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Oliynykova25c173.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7693048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ed…de73backed Oliynykova16c170$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.81631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+56.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Oliynykova67c170$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.159348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6b…8557backed Oliynykova60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da1…d6bcbacked Oliynykova16c162$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa288…adbebacked Wang55c160.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.623745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef0f…2818backed Oliynykova25c155.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.84850%4 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+87.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Wang41c154.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x450c…46cebacked Oliynykova32c154.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.171070%7 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.37per pick33cpaid+106.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.