Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Wang vs Oliynykova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54ab7b4f20c5e3f9a47f87598f56a1fe09fdc0697bfc735dd8dde217b1ab7e41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oliynykovaof Wang, Oliynykova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Oliynykova | 23c | 217.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.15 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Oliynykova | 23c | 157$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Oliynykova | 16c | 144.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Oliynykova | 23c | 122$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…2818backed Oliynykova | 20c | 97.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Oliynykova | 17c | 93.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Oliynykova | 23c | 82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Oliynykova | 23c | 77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Wang | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Wang | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Oliynykova | 23c | 70$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…89edbacked Wang | 79c | 62.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Wang | 77c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Wang | 77c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Wang | 77c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Wang | 77c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Wang | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Wang | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Wang | 77c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Wang | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 58cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Wang | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Wang | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Wang | 77c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Wang | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wang | 75c | 20.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Wang | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Wang | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Wang | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Wang | 77c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Wang | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Wang | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Wang | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Wang vs Oliynykovathis page
- Set Handicap: Wang (-1.5) vs Oliynykova (+1.5)Oliynykova won
- Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Oleksandra OliynykovaOliynykova won
- Wang vs. Oliynykova: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Wang vs. Oliynykova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Wang vs. Oliynykova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.