Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Wang (-1.5) vs Oliynykova (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba603620dbd183ffab70bb0f363c98c244fa0be5aa0b91dea6e1e7f2221d5eec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oliynykovaof Wang, Oliynykova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Wang | 67c | 597.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Oliynykova | 33c | 477.25$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.45 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Oliynykova | 40c | 382.8$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.8 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Wang | 66c | 310.61$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Oliynykova | 36c | 126.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oliynykova | 33c | 102.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Oliynykova | 36c | 97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Oliynykova | 36c | 82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Oliynykova | 36c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Oliynykova | 36c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Wang | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Wang | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Wang | 65c | 37.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Wang | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Wang | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Oliynykova | 33c | 31.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Wang | 70c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Wang | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Wang | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Wang | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Wang | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Wang | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Wang | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Wang | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Wang | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Wang | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Wang | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Wang | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Wang | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Wang | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Wang (-1.5) vs Oliynykova (+1.5)this page
- Set 1 Winner: Wang vs OliynykovaOliynykova won
- Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Oleksandra OliynykovaOliynykova won
- Wang vs. Oliynykova: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Wang vs. Oliynykova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Wang vs. Oliynykova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.