Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $132,448,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $76,543,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,448,347 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 29,925 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9468…5d4bbacked Yes	2c	3,395,500$81,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,619	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	12cpaid	+122.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	26c	2,495,161$640,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640,063.06	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes	17c	2,465,265$407,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407,707.65	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	22c	2,155,338$467,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467,964.95	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes	17c	2,053,299$346,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346,093.76	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c2…2ab0backed Yes	33c	1,429,819$465,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465,870.76	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.37per pick	50cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	28c	1,143,460$315,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315,610.43	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c1…b6c9backed Yes	24c	1,021,525$248,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248,148.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Yes	20c	1,009,822$198,959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198,959.29	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.27per pick	33cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78c6…4710backed Yes	21c	1,000,100$209,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209,324.99	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Yes	39c	999,999$389,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388,999.75	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9896…a925backed Yes	21c	942,389$193,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193,540.77	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yes	36c	862,799$308,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308,134.33	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a7…504ebacked Yes	23c	718,877$163,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163,783.71	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac2…be3dbacked Yes	17c	701,140$118,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118,835.66	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+93%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Yes	30c	694,546$205,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205,316.97	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes	32c	564,164$178,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178,930.73	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd355…f69cbacked Yes	28c	538,772$148,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148,684.89	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd3…f69abacked Yes	18c	528,151$97,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97,708.01	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes	33c	520,436$173,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173,644.88	79	24.1%19 W · 60 L	-6.7wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	23c	511,578$119,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119,779.38	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db5…7b87backed Yes	33c	489,419$161,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161,075.92	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a7…3362backed Yes	29c	474,610$135,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135,320.05	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	11c	467,934$50,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,939.53	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes	32c	465,116$146,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146,791.97	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd10…a689backed Yes	18c	451,460$79,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79,087	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Yes	33c	450,194$146,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146,994.11	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	16c	422,385$67,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67,161.91	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes	18c	410,678$72,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,206.29	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa274…1cd3backed Yes	35c	408,148$143,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143,679.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2c…d7e6backed Yes	18c	403,186$73,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,397.06	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7072…3413backed Yes	30c	395,157$116,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116,908.79	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	4c	371,547$13,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,188.02	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes	17c	363,429$60,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,001	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes	6c	362,407$22,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,886.01	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd617…0797backed Yes	19c	357,099$68,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68,844.92	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ef…47f7backed Yes	20c	351,762$69,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,515.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6e…18d9backed Yes	21c	349,500$72,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,565.95	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes	17c	336,291$57,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,727.43	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-8.4wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	23c	334,322$77,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77,283.32	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed No	61c	334,213$204,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130,210.37	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Yes	35c	329,435$116,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116,669.69	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes	4c	327,395$13,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,177.3	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	33c	320,958$107,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107,139.12	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes	16c	310,559$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa0…c20fbacked Yes	19c	308,988$59,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,312.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffa…864bbacked Yes	18c	304,166$54,718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,717.87	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Yes	17c	300,105$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792f…328abacked Yes	18c	300,063$53,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,633.66	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed Yes	20c	300,000$58,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,799.99	59	67.8%40 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2233…cb7ebacked No	77c	291,726$223,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67,954.94	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes	17c	287,000$47,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,880	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x705d…0a1ebacked Yes	20c	286,914$56,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,331.45	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes	32c	283,281$89,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89,245.4	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d1e…04d0backed Yes	18c	278,734$50,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,249.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	37c	276,559$101,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101,554.87	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38af…492bbacked Yes	18c	272,559$49,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,285	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…5dc4backed Yes	23c	270,800$62,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,106.21	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes	23c	259,455$59,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,962.9	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	28c	256,757$70,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,902.02	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x322f…ba1fbacked Yes	16c	255,771$41,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,978.5	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfc5…c7cfbacked Yes	20c	253,519$50,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,229.67	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce9…9452backed Yes	17c	250,000$43,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,000	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-4.6wins	-0.22per pick	46cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4560…353bbacked Yes	39c	247,824$97,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97,043.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes	0c	247,582$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.63	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.23per pick	43cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x19da…53fcbacked Yes	21c	245,186$51,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,600	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ad6…d9dfbacked Yes	18c	245,000$45,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,079.96	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-35%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes	38c	240,033$90,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90,012.39	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+66.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa849…f644backed Yes	35c	238,686$83,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83,009.89	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe94…8a3dbacked Yes	38c	227,704$85,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85,678.55	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes	12c	227,663$26,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,973.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b04…3a41backed Yes	18c	226,831$41,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,044.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+211.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Yes	19c	225,000$41,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,950	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes	16c	224,009$36,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,028.13	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5357…3a0dbacked Yes	15c	222,646$34,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,093.61	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes	15c	220,971$33,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,788.33	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8c…0b5cbacked Yes	20c	217,134$42,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,835.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab84…3e48backed Yes	15c	213,680$31,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,491.03	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	15cpaid	+109.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25d5…104bbacked Yes	35c	210,664$73,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,968.54	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes	19c	205,588$39,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,624.5	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes	24c	204,072$49,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,359.37	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-83%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	5c	200,511$10,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,632.25	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes	19c	200,000$38,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,800	178	40.4%72 W · 106 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28b3…30c8backed Yes	17c	198,164$33,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,256.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ba…b673backed Yes	20c	195,848$39,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,246.18	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa252…dbf4backed Yes	19c	192,825$37,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,228.05	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a16…4335backed Yes	17c	192,481$33,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,368.89	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cba…9abebacked Yes	16c	191,110$30,769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,768.75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes	26c	191,011$49,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,000	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes	28c	190,528$53,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,628.29	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe52c…6924backed Yes	17c	187,904$32,801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,801.43	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2174…e357backed Yes	16c	187,746$30,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,958	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes	33c	186,916$62,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,307.34	109	59.6%65 W · 44 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd604…bc8abacked Yes	17c	184,944$31,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,000	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes	31c	183,806$57,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,427.79	302	14.6%44 W · 258 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1506…3ae5backed Yes	17c	183,593$32,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,000	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes	17c	183,207$31,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,776.06	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa27…a99fbacked Yes	22c	180,225$39,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,505.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1521…f23ebacked Yes	34c	180,000$60,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,349.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbe…776dbacked No	78c	179,999$140,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,369.88	72	22.2%16 W · 56 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event