Fifa International · resolved market
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7c21c8972c773b34f36f67f15dada2584474d959f7e338aca5994727d37ae39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,666,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,123,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,666,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 844 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca28…4e91backed Yes | 2c | 424,803$9,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,423.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 375,886$5,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800.93 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 2c | 293,507$5,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,661.12 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…70b0backed Yes | 2c | 239,739$4,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,836.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Yes | 2c | 197,244$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…6398backed Yes | 2c | 133,893$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.31 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Yes | 2c | 115,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…9d70backed Yes | 2c | 104,500$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes | 2c | 89,396$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…30c9backed Yes | 2c | 85,500$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 2c | 85,086$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.72 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Yes | 2c | 80,376$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 2c | 70,540$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.67 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Yes | 0c | 67,795$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 2c | 66,450$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.95 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 2c | 61,413$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.74 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…7a99backed Yes | 2c | 60,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 2c | 57,836$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4d…20cfbacked Yes | 2c | 57,404$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.16 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 2c | 55,533$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.43 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…512fbacked Yes | 2c | 52,956$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…9452backed Yes | 3c | 50,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…62c8backed Yes | 2c | 49,292$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2a87backed Yes | 2c | 45,249$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…a932backed Yes | 2c | 43,799$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…205abacked Yes | 3c | 40,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Yes | 2c | 35,204$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ad28backed Yes | 2c | 34,511$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Yes | 2c | 33,800$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…05aebacked Yes | 2c | 32,663$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.21 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 2c | 30,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 2c | 30,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…3424backed Yes | 2c | 26,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Yes | 2c | 25,698$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.32 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 25,695$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63e…a9b3backed Yes | 2c | 25,318$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…4388backed Yes | 2c | 25,125$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 25,000$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 2c | 23,259$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.04 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…ecd9backed Yes | 2c | 22,231$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 2c | 22,116$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.42 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba5…7fe9backed Yes | 2c | 22,000$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…314cbacked Yes | 2c | 21,000$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 2c | 20,849$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.56 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed Yes | 2c | 20,766$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.09 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 20,733$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.9 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…6a8bbacked Yes | 2c | 20,247$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 2c | 20,100$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed Yes | 2c | 20,031$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.97 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd12…7e35backed Yes | 3c | 20,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…b75abacked Yes | 2c | 20,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 2c | 19,801$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.82 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…2eaabacked Yes | 2c | 18,797$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 2c | 18,000$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…ccd0backed Yes | 2c | 17,838$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…b69fbacked Yes | 2c | 15,470$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.34 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 2c | 15,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -59%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked Yes | 2c | 15,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735f…0e5bbacked Yes | 2c | 13,889$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -76%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…7409backed Yes | 2c | 13,700$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.1 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 13,579$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…a9f5backed Yes | 2c | 13,288$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…9c03backed Yes | 2c | 13,050$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 12,834$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…8f06backed Yes | 2c | 12,593$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 2c | 12,454$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9304backed Yes | 3c | 12,238$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.59 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yes | 2c | 12,238$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…9feabacked Yes | 3c | 11,963$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…e79fbacked Yes | 3c | 11,680$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…6c5bbacked Yes | 2c | 11,606$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…4212backed Yes | 2c | 11,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1a…b35cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,980$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Yes | 2c | 10,954$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a72…9be0backed Yes | 2c | 10,934$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…978cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,579$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 2c | 10,526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727f…bdc6backed Yes | 2c | 10,526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aca…ef71backed Yes | 2c | 10,526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…205bbacked Yes | 2c | 10,317$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 2c | 10,263$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…80f8backed Yes | 3c | 10,190$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e7…8821backed Yes | 2c | 10,110$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2324…2b86backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…56eabacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6c…8fe6backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3e71backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3c…e648backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde59…451fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.