Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ccfe1b69a582d2985db08a8481a0d74c314b1fce9b4711ae2efb2c6467fe6aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,807,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,494,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,807,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 1c | 13,968,329$166,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166,050.44 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 2c | 7,423,316$140,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,912.32 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…3413backed Yes | 3c | 5,955,509$158,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158,713.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…f2dcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,799,416$54,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,426.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 2c | 3,063,868$54,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,940.44 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…6398backed Yes | 1c | 2,869,680$33,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,217.11 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…458ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,477,474$35,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,289.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…db9dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,327,307$37,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,283.86 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 2c | 2,193,244$45,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,626.1 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…bc23backed Yes | 2c | 2,143,311$41,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,695.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 1c | 1,996,775$26,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,192.35 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 1c | 1,690,118$18,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,361.39 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 3c | 1,652,054$48,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,198.06 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…a926backed Yes | 1c | 1,481,549$22,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,089.16 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 1c | 1,475,583$17,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,660.83 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 1,247,839$15,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,315.87 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 2c | 1,225,000$18,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,850 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,224,330$15,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,642.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 1c | 1,010,295$10,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,102.95 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 894,879$15,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,201.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Yes | 1c | 889,600$11,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,086.53 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 1c | 885,955$11,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,517.42 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 1c | 809,028$10,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,208.26 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 2c | 793,276$19,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,061.37 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…65e5backed Yes | 1c | 780,476$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 1c | 695,324$8,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,146.03 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…8510backed Yes | 2c | 647,232$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Yes | 2c | 616,227$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 1c | 615,512$8,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,443.05 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…6728backed Yes | 1c | 596,594$7,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,158.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…9fb6backed Yes | 2c | 572,381$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 2c | 563,637$10,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,819.52 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Yes | 1c | 559,838$6,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,457.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…ba79backed Yes | 2c | 546,141$8,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,585.25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…e0acbacked Yes | 1c | 545,455$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Yes | 1c | 543,860$6,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,517.25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 526,622$7,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,087.96 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1658…d10ebacked Yes | 1c | 502,485$7,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,037.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 1c | 500,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…28d6backed Yes | 1c | 500,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 2c | 490,543$8,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,024.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…b440backed Yes | 5c | 489,871$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…bb68backed Yes | 1c | 479,657$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…68d2backed Yes | 1c | 452,012$5,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,396 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 1c | 447,790$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600.27 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 1c | 439,917$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,509.17 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 3c | 434,061$12,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,102.99 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 1c | 432,000$5,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,066 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5e…17f9backed Yes | 1c | 425,679$5,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,822.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…f69cbacked Yes | 1c | 425,520$5,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,109.36 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Yes | 1c | 410,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x222d…90d1backed Yes | 1c | 409,655$5,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,021 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 2c | 400,000$6,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,147.1 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…1df1backed Yes | 2c | 400,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 2c | 388,937$8,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,857.7 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 3c | 378,286$12,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,458.23 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…16eabacked Yes | 2c | 369,485$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Yes | 1c | 368,009$5,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,475.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4df…54dbbacked Yes | 1c | 367,190$4,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,773.47 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…18d9backed Yes | 1c | 366,000$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes | 1c | 363,636$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 362,177$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.08 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 1c | 350,661$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 3c | 350,000$11,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,950 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd108…c67ebacked Yes | 1c | 348,910$4,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…9024backed Yes | 2c | 338,322$7,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,980.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…5ab9backed Yes | 1c | 335,213$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52e…e5b4backed Yes | 1c | 322,540$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 4c | 312,566$12,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,413.47 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…03ccbacked Yes | 2c | 312,319$6,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,097.16 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Yes | 1c | 306,099$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.38 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…c8ddbacked Yes | 3c | 304,230$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…135dbacked Yes | 3c | 300,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Yes | 2c | 300,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…bbcabacked Yes | 1c | 291,479$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.18 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…dc12backed Yes | 1c | 285,656$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Yes | 1c | 285,119$4,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…6c92backed Yes | 3c | 276,800$9,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,685.98 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 1c | 275,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes | 2c | 271,419$4,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,504.13 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…00ddbacked Yes | 2c | 265,642$4,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.74 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed Yes | 1c | 264,998$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Yes | 1c | 256,900$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd847…ae3abacked Yes | 1c | 250,817$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…9701backed Yes | 2c | 249,210$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 239,079$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.11 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 1c | 236,186$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.22 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 4c | 225,052$7,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,992.16 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 3c | 222,888$6,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,869.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd380…0700backed Yes | 1c | 221,117$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.48 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ce…fe1fbacked Yes | 1c | 219,405$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.45 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Yes | 1c | 218,891$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.45 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 4c | 214,433$9,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,182.12 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bfa2backed Yes | 1c | 212,999$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.98 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…8d70backed Yes | 3c | 212,577$6,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,354.74 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed Yes | 3c | 209,533$6,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,134.77 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 209,261$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.38 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…0ab8backed Yes | 1c | 209,241$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.35 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ef0fbacked Yes | 2c | 203,803$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.53 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 1c | 201,736$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.