Fifa International · resolved market
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe99cc59f32b10d23acf196d1a0e8264ea30fca198428acadd3464b06ff60e771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,668,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,799,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,668,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,043 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 2c | 17,274,792$290,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290,256.64 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb6…06dabacked Yes | 2c | 3,800,000$71,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,600 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…458ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,398,398$93,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,757.53 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 2c | 3,380,117$59,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,747.59 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Yes | 2c | 2,529,499$43,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,712.08 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 2c | 2,215,442$34,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,541.49 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…89b7backed Yes | 2c | 2,099,896$33,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,882.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 2c | 1,699,552$36,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,876.06 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,563,691$23,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,855.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 2c | 1,560,545$38,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,837.45 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Yes | 2c | 1,476,666$25,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,649.99 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 3c | 1,335,510$35,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,936.3 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 3c | 1,329,090$35,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,277.94 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 3c | 1,312,863$37,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,022.43 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1658…d10ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,079,263$19,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,426.73 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,073,559$18,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,814.75 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 2c | 980,951$15,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,376.17 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 1c | 912,898$12,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,780.58 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 2c | 800,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 3c | 697,402$21,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,261.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 691,348$10,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,742.39 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes | 1c | 634,478$9,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,448.21 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…78f1backed Yes | 4c | 616,331$24,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,673.43 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 2c | 538,410$10,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,549.75 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…8510backed Yes | 2c | 526,316$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Yes | 2c | 516,687$9,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800.66 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…4871backed Yes | 2c | 510,000$7,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,879.99 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked Yes | 1c | 506,709$7,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,440.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1603…913bbacked Yes | 2c | 457,778$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 2c | 419,998$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,709.97 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 2c | 414,515$7,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,906.75 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 393,409$10,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,201.88 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 2c | 392,630$7,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,895.28 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 3c | 392,411$11,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,862.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 3c | 389,529$10,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,324.64 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 1c | 363,067$4,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,579.64 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Yes | 1c | 360,999$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,053.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 2c | 356,000$5,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,340 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 2c | 353,406$5,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,654.49 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 2c | 339,995$8,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,494.32 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes | 3c | 333,333$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes | 2c | 308,333$5,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,185 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 2c | 306,343$6,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608.11 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…3800backed Yes | 2c | 302,778$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Yes | 2c | 300,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 2c | 300,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.99 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 2c | 280,000$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…75fdbacked Yes | 2c | 268,389$5,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,287.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -82%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Yes | 2c | 250,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Yes | 2c | 245,524$4,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 2c | 244,222$5,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,205.65 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes | 2c | 235,294$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…6950backed Yes | 1c | 229,349$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…f454backed Yes | 3c | 226,120$6,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,350.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 2c | 225,298$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.3 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a7…3362backed Yes | 4c | 212,881$7,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,889.1 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 2c | 211,735$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.95 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…e0acbacked Yes | 2c | 208,632$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.75 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 2c | 207,864$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.09 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Yes | 1c | 206,204$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…62c8backed Yes | 2c | 203,006$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5e…17f9backed Yes | 2c | 200,563$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 2c | 200,232$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.72 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…0938backed Yes | 2c | 200,000$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2796…b4f0backed Yes | 2c | 199,999$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.99 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…a926backed Yes | 2c | 195,750$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.75 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a5…137dbacked Yes | 2c | 193,614$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 3c | 190,012$6,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,137.63 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…bb68backed Yes | 2c | 187,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…2e2bbacked Yes | 2c | 184,851$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.03 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…17a8backed Yes | 2c | 183,243$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.6 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…53b0backed Yes | 3c | 183,079$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 3c | 181,666$6,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,010.71 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 3c | 181,445$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.57 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 2c | 180,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…e6c4backed Yes | 5c | 179,600$8,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,126.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +233%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…7061backed Yes | 3c | 179,453$5,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,634.33 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -85%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed Yes | 2c | 178,347$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 2c | 177,204$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.05 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…2decbacked Yes | 2c | 176,678$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes | 2c | 175,133$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.06 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Yes | 2c | 170,640$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 3c | 169,127$4,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397.31 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e25…57c7backed Yes | 2c | 158,105$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6296backed Yes | 2c | 158,000$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 4c | 156,000$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…0ab8backed Yes | 2c | 149,063$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.97 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8630…158bbacked Yes | 3c | 148,617$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.5 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…5ad4backed Yes | 2c | 148,118$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.88 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 3c | 147,000$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,926.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 141,861$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.44 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked Yes | 2c | 136,938$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.57 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 1c | 135,078$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.78 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…7507backed Yes | 2c | 133,379$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…0c67backed Yes | 2c | 133,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd027…e10dbacked Yes | 2c | 133,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa0…cac8backed Yes | 2c | 126,400$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.4 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…0396backed Yes | 2c | 125,384$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked Yes | 2c | 124,000$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.99 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes | 1c | 123,747$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.22 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.