Fifa International · resolved market
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x098e2be3df8ab529940c567819f8ef007cf007820e9d627642a5bbfaa42af372
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,367,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,886,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,367,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 0c | 12,124,633$24,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,307.66 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…6398backed Yes | 0c | 8,770,385$16,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,699.87 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c8…d2d0backed Yes | 0c | 6,773,271$28,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,486.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,940,901$9,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,244.85 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 0c | 3,098,797$6,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,197.59 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 0c | 2,745,890$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.89 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 0c | 2,000,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 1,933,032$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 1,831,302$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.11 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 1,503,269$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 1,500,000$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.92 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…b4f8backed Yes | 0c | 1,500,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 1,128,378$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.38 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…b4cebacked Yes | 0c | 1,100,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…20bbbacked Yes | 0c | 975,735$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 0c | 666,666$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed Yes | 0c | 651,999$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…6621backed Yes | 0c | 600,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…ee24backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cc…8daabacked Yes | 0c | 484,315$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 439,548$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.66 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 0c | 387,840$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.2 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 350,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…1d5fbacked Yes | 0c | 318,750$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 315,805$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.61 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes | 0c | 300,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 0c | 288,313$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.31 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…e61fbacked Yes | 0c | 258,453$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187d…062abacked Yes | 0c | 250,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 0c | 237,307$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.33 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…74debacked Yes | 0c | 222,430$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.49 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 0c | 216,569$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.71 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes | 1c | 209,209$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…871ebacked Yes | 0c | 185,830$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Yes | 0c | 175,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 0c | 170,123$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.12 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…05aebacked Yes | 0c | 150,665$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.33 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fc…510dbacked Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes | 0c | 133,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x599f…4ce3backed Yes | 0c | 121,015$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 0c | 119,999$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…ba10backed Yes | 0c | 119,681$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 111,111$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.44 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c2…5709backed Yes | 0c | 110,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 109,999$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 0c | 109,741$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.4 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…1aeabacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce5…b6a3backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…b8fabacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…bdffbacked Yes | 0c | 99,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 0c | 99,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes | 0c | 99,990$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 0c | 99,505$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.01 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Yes | 0c | 97,402$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7f…f514backed Yes | 0c | 89,946$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes | 0c | 89,012$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…44ebbacked Yes | 0c | 88,667$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…0b5fbacked Yes | 0c | 86,365$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.1 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x866b…1bcdbacked Yes | 1c | 80,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…de71backed Yes | 0c | 76,667$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes | 0c | 75,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 19.6%19 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes | 0c | 75,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 11.8%15 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…a1c6backed Yes | 0c | 71,673$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 0c | 70,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed Yes | 0c | 68,742$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…9149backed Yes | 0c | 68,500$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Yes | 0c | 58,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6febbacked Yes | 0c | 54,667$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 0c | 52,667$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 0c | 51,543$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…10bdbacked Yes | 0c | 50,690$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…ed58backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333a…bd76backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…5199backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…6c31backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…5965backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267e…f2e8backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98c…33e4backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes | 0c | 49,956$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…a76abacked Yes | 0c | 44,283$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e25…57c7backed Yes | 0c | 44,277$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…d3c0backed Yes | 0c | 43,923$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…b0ffbacked Yes | 0c | 43,333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 0c | 42,833$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…9061backed Yes | 0c | 42,800$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1526backed Yes | 0c | 42,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5702…c5a7backed Yes | 0c | 41,070$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 170 | 30%51 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…3d5bbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.