TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x357c…de71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.8
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$3.23
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$12.34
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.87
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.44
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$74.84
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.82
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$22.71
England vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.17
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.61
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.83
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$63.06
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.05
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovicbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.13
Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38%+$11.69
Wimbledon WTA: Anna Blinkova vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$7.82
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+127.9%+$54.42
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Leheckabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+499.3%+$81.97
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzettibacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.86
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$56.88
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$28.54
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$40.77
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$80.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.85
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.71
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$8.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.