TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$506,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$548,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $506,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over24c105,715$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under77c84,000$64,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,319.9532031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under76c66,876$50,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,050.2974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over23c65,000$14,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,95022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over18c12,760$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.651,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under80c12,500$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50037754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over23c11,748$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7022,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under77c10,236$7,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.3586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over9c10,000$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87513811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over23c8,549$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.781,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over23c7,900$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7938617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under77c7,038$5,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.752,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under77c6,587$5,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.171,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8706…f8ccbacked Over2c6,231$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.225516.4%9 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+76%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under77c6,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Over18c5,961$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.058316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over23c5,555$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.659126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Under78c5,332$4,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.954250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5915…db2bbacked Over22c5,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.72536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over23c4,979$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over20c4,862$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.162,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb803…1664backed Over22c4,700$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03460%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under77c4,545$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.2813259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over20c3,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.061,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over23c3,500$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under78c3,074$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.234665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over23c2,609$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Over22c2,308$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Over22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009936.4%36 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Over23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006418.8%12 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over5c2,000$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083713.5%5 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3515…fc5cbacked Over15c1,777$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.551735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under78c1,748$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.921,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under78c1,702$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.451,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under78c1,678$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.151,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over23c1,522$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over3c1,228$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.781,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over16c1,166$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2443826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under78c1,154$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad4…a675backed Under78c1,100$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24211952.9%63 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over23c1,088$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1418827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under78c1,002$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8784844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec9f…c3fbbacked Over23c999.96$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.997343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over22c910$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.245038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under76c869$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Over23c836$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2865835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10415920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x963f…b421backed Over6c799.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483212.5%4 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3567447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Over22c549.77$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9519031.6%60 W · 130 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over20c509.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over20c507$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.446230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Over22c503.82$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.844161%25 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Under77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11515837.3%59 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11528337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e3…6298backed Over15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014235.9%51 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…8144backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005339.6%21 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Over21c470.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under79c468.67$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.11,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a99…e614backed Over22c464.87$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.278025%20 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under78c448.72$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.727471.6%53 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Over23c435$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.052147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over23c422.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.274940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec12…fd9dbacked Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015519.4%30 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…7db8backed Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Over23c413.04$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954626.1%12 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over24c412.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9925737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over22c400$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae7…cc66backed Over23c377.26$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.777534.7%26 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under78c336.34$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.722,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0872…8cbfbacked Over21c333.9$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.122931%9 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under79c318.98$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.683,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c97…cd5abacked Over23c304.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706229%18 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4153…8d29backed Over23c280.26$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.461729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea2…f26dbacked Over12c249.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.998421.4%18 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a2…ad5abacked Under78c239.31$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.651978.9%15 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick74cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd85…1388backed Over23c239.13$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe075…59e9backed Over22c238.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.44520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over21c225.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9252744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012637.3%47 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012517.6%22 W · 103 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9402…21febacked Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504320.9%9 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d85…3a04backed Over23c204.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.097025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449919.2%19 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcc…da20backed Under80c188.54$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.716352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.