Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fa6f84f68f9c0d07d5e9ba5745cec2c8ed91450b4ba16f99db881ada7104f1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3642…74eabacked Over | 1c | 69,998$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.62 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…ec79backed Over | 19c | 9,312$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.66 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 4,781$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.42 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over | 18c | 2,856$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 18c | 1,944$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 13c | 1,285$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 18c | 1,283$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Over | 17c | 1,254$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Over | 18c | 944.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 14c | 805.95$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 5c | 763.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 2c | 644.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Over | 19c | 626.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Over | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…fd9dbacked Over | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 19.4%30 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…e863backed Over | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 18c | 527.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 179 | 38%68 W · 111 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 18c | 524.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…c228backed Over | 15c | 399.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 6c | 350.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 18c | 305.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 9c | 287.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…fe66backed Over | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c9…4179backed Over | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…dd03backed Over | 18c | 269.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…d9a4backed Over | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 8c | 152$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773e…7862backed Over | 18c | 134.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…6fa3backed Over | 17c | 133.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 18c | 126.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Over | 18c | 126.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 16c | 118$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…a53cbacked Over | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 14c | 97.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 18c | 92.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 16c | 86.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…7590backed Over | 19c | 77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 18c | 75.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.