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Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$371,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$365,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c150,115$85,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,833.754,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over51c76,018$38,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,957.072,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over38c48,419$18,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,512.492,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over45c27,964$12,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,461.314,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under48c18,436$8,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,586.7374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under49c17,000$8,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,669.751,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under51c15,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,299.9438026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over22c14,809$3,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.0465737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over45c10,230$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,650.329752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over52c10,106$5,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,220.8715843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c9,494$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,712.913,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over51c8,589$4,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,416.037153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under52c8,545$4,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,072.542,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c7,500$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.9874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over27c4,963$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.8422943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c0…2713backed Under52c4,586$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.182119%4 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-62%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over51c4,481$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.2728025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c4,060$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.931,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b90…5fb9backed Over50c3,960$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9802343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under47c3,498$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.9121836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50023255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Under51c2,925$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.2315127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c2,833$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.342,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c2,442$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.22,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c2,418$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Under52c2,350$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.0112241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb013…6c47backed Over48c2,319$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.822470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa26…46a8backed Over51c2,171$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over51c2,035$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03815650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over51c1,999$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.6835446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Over49c1,800$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8823363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under63c1,696$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.994,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over36c1,662$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.892,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over49c1,650$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.57949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Under51c1,471$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.6916746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c1,438$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.6237959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Over50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7733…23f5backed Over17c1,399$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2386333.3%21 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under50c1,326$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.572,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over47c1,200$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.021,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under48c1,136$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.7113860.9%84 W · 54 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.3967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a8…2a71backed Under52c1,002$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.653053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fdf…3b6cbacked Over50c1,001$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9515440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9912947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75c…bb4ebacked Over53c946.22$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under48c938.98$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.9429232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1d…d900backed Over53c933$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.7390%0 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Over38c838$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4414554.5%79 W · 66 L+12.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005362.3%33 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb221…c19dbacked Over49c748.39$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.71520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89cf…5f47backed Over52c649.34$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3386036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under52c602.88$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3824950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022643.4%98 W · 128 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under50c595.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.811,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Under52c589.91$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.1610945%49 W · 60 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Under52c587.5$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28224344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Under50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29122139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d6…d5d5backed Under52c574.75$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.21747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+55.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d77…cd4fbacked Over53c566.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under50c561.37$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.371,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Over52c561.02$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.735651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d1…5305backed Over51c538.82$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.81030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c533.79$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.143,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over50c532$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26623540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over49c528$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.422846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over52c526.92$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27417938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over23c510$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.241444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Under50c509.62$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25522835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over43c501.84$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5487237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over52c500$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25928337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011155%61 W · 50 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fe…1656backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Over48c498.91$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.4818248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over44c498.4$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.071,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x153c…bf6abacked Over51c482.35$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2469053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed0…0f43backed Under49c439.53$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.31080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2c0…f73abacked Over5c431.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011437.7%43 W · 71 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Over49c430.61$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21116441.5%68 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe073…9959backed Under52c423.08$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.088848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over48c419.99$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.862,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under48c417.16$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.251,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aaf…d41abacked Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over44c409.03$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.411,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ed1…53febacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025528.6%73 W · 182 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…0a76backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006129.5%18 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b2b…bedbbacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.