TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: England (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ghanaof England, Ghana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$517,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$564,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed England24c211,343$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ghana80c210,531$167,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,155.594,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Ghana75c64,277$48,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,069.156448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England17c59,539$9,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,891.322,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Ghana77c35,521$27,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,259.0621836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed England22c30,017$6,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,603.7926320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ghana76c25,765$19,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,100.783,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Ghana79c22,572$17,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,740.215249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Ghana76c10,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed England20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ghana78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed England22c7,500$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6502,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Ghana78c6,733$5,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.42,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Ghana80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Ghana79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed England22c4,558$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.7611642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked England22c3,716$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.5213237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked England18c3,034$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.1270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed England21c2,924$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.1128025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ghana78c2,461$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.042,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed England22c2,397$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.3122436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5da0backed England21c2,371$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.883036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked England22c2,222$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.8412536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Ghana80c2,186$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.21,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Ghana78c2,131$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.811,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Ghana79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4209662.5%60 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd053…3c01backed England21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420238.7%2 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-84.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed England22c1,990$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.968141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked England21c1,905$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb119…7132backed England22c1,818$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked England22c1,741$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.9210142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Ghana78c1,707$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.011,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed England21c1,666$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.9118626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f1…5d81backed Ghana78c1,508$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.786540%26 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed England9c1,414$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Ghana78c1,342$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.2152744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x835a…530abacked Ghana79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8215455.2%85 W · 69 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed England16c1,216$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Ghana78c1,200$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26433149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked England9c1,158$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.92,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Ghana77c1,111$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5334249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed England21c1,080$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.87321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed England21c1,077$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.383,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Ghana78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Ghana78c925.72$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.661,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed England22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked England22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed England22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012429%36 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked England4c875.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.672,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed England20c824$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0239039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Ghana80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea2…de87backed England6c733.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4412320.3%25 W · 98 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed England21c714.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Ghana76c657$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.682,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Ghana78c657$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.363,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked England12c646.28$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4762633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fca…c922backed England22c636.36$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012517.6%22 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Ghana79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9114568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf9…33ebbacked Ghana78c599.99$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Ghana79c532.17$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.561,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed England22c500$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10928337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked England20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed England22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bcb…8c21backed England22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked England22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked England21c447.62$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946918.8%13 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc8…c21fbacked Ghana79c440$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.42343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa9…732bbacked England10c399.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2917…b315backed England20c395.2$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.041612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked England21c383$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.771,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed England17c360.59$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8451429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Ghana77c360$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9330…b993backed England21c350.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.647138%27 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked England21c346.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.511,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed England21c345.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.831,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…2d14backed Ghana80c337.5$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.57360.3%44 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f23…f9d9backed Ghana80c331.99$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fb…9b84backed England11c326$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0815235.5%54 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked England21c311$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3124541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Ghana78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6632046.6%149 W · 171 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed England21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4de2…1d6fbacked Ghana79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6311349.6%56 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Ghana79c279.9$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.781,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Ghana79c273.91$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2988852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Ghana78c270.04$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.413,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Ghana78c260$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5682348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Ghana80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked England21c239.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.412933.3%43 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked England21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023929.7%71 W · 168 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbf…2e5ebacked England21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed England22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019938.2%76 W · 123 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed England22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked England22c227.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked England17c227$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.797911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…4c7abacked England22c204.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518736.4%68 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b8…4ab2backed England22c202.92$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2210133.7%34 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed England22c202.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.585253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed England21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4217248.3%83 W · 89 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed England21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210136.6%37 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked England21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.