TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0f1…5d81

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT6540%26 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colombia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$195.65
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$278.16
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
France vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.6
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$187.27
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,086.3
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.77
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.35
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$51.03
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$609.95
Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 2 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.04
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$655.12
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$252
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.62
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$105.27
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Playoffsbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+245.6%+$67.6
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.31
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$816.46
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$164.89
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$196.38
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$919.12
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$557.34
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,657Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$2,541.43
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,271.46
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,050
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Sapporo: Ayumi Miyamoto vs Gaeul Jangbacked Ayumi Miyamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$43.4
Bad Homburg Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Clara Tausonbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+307.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+307.3%+$150.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.