CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7fd354e5cbf31be41885a66f585eb66533f9f4c1eb89d621f6be0c1475b69d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $440,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed 9z | 0c | 122,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 9z | 4c | 28,108$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.57 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed 9z | 3c | 16,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed 9z | 19c | 9,981$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.77 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked 9z | 7c | 8,000$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.09 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed 9z | 3c | 5,215$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked 9z | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed 9z | 17c | 3,910$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.64 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed 9z | 4c | 3,074$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 9z | 19c | 2,759$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.78 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 9z | 3c | 2,380$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed 9z | 9c | 2,101$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed 9z | 18c | 2,009$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.84 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…bf05backed 9z | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed 9z | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vitality | 78c | 1,594$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.19 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed 9z | 9c | 1,503$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked 9z | 2c | 1,384$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed 9z | 8c | 1,381$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 9z | 4c | 1,259$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed 9z | 8c | 1,214$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked 9z | 19c | 1,111$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked 9z | 2c | 1,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…2a07backed 9z | 10c | 996.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed 9z | 3c | 930.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 9z | 13c | 899.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed 9z | 4c | 810.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 9z | 18c | 670.56$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed 9z | 10c | 660$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 189 | 43.9%83 W · 106 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked 9z | 4c | 650$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed 9z | 4c | 557.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 9z | 3c | 550.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…b3a6backed 9z | 19c | 530.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed 9z | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed 9z | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed 9z | 8c | 446.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…1fafbacked 9z | 8c | 433.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 190 | 22.6%43 W · 147 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed 9z | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed 9z | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked 9z | 19c | 360$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 9z | 11c | 310.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…5d81backed 9z | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed 9z | 17c | 294.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked 9z | 8c | 255$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed 9z | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 9z | 8c | 216.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked 9z | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed 9z | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 9z | 7c | 153.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…5faabacked 9z | 8c | 150.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked 9z | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8faa…e76abacked 9z | 9c | 129.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…b994backed 9z | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…6c48backed 9z | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed 9z | 14c | 79.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed 9z | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 39z won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)Vitality won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)9z won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)9z won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.