CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ef85b96c42cb076ac1ed4ecc891c0cac0aea67993b1d7b47fe8dbfd5154bbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Under | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Over | 62c | 1,510$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.8 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Over | 65c | 1,489$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Under | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Under | 35c | 1,398$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.83 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Over | 63c | 1,105$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.85 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 33c | 1,058$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.24 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 67c | 954.71$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.05 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed Under | 35c | 942.61$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.91 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Under | 34c | 735.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Over | 66c | 599.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Over | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Over | 66c | 466$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.44 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked Over | 62c | 461.3$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Under | 34c | 460.73$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.87 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under | 31c | 358$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 31c | 235.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Under | 35c | 144.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 60c | 94.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…0dfebacked Over | 66c | 53.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Over | 66c | 44.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 67c | 28.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 26.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 39z won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)Vitality won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)9z won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)9z won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.