TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof Vitality, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,029,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,003,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,029,010 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 694 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1610…ae49backed 9z9c101,336$9,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,868.7513548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed 9z37c77,473$28,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,481.7750054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 9z8c72,059$5,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,105.071,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc9…ab64backed Vitality1c56,500$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed 9z25c53,331$13,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,232.8520745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Vitality1c51,676$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.52620%0 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed 9z17c43,161$7,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,820.5810142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Vitality62c41,514$25,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,698.9225355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Vitality1c39,000$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Vitality1c36,000$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 9z10c35,000$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,379.9523145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Vitality2c34,000$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed 9z9c31,274$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,502.7532732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed 9z7c30,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,899.9911439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2887…a552backed Vitality1c29,000$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bb7…fbfabacked 9z3c26,569$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,772.011145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+266.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked 9z6c25,684$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,202.8429127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed Vitality1c23,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807022.9%16 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed 9z8c22,323$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,537.1388242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd3…6a81backed Vitality0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Vitality3c19,300$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe44f…fff1backed Vitality1c18,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Vitality47c17,999$8,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,414.1330340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked 9z17c17,381$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,380.5316443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked 9z36c16,938$6,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,847.6276058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Vitality2c16,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed Vitality72c14,284$10,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,280.9318056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2fd…5dabbacked Vitality0c13,180$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.19746.4%45 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked 9z28c12,798$3,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,153.2913043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed 9z8c12,768$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,746.5621854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5d9…6ae6backed Vitality2c12,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 9z45c11,111$4,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,122.1681843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Vitality72c10,609$7,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,686.7721655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked 9z11c9,302$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,318.041,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked 9z5c9,045$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,571.9817540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed 9z57c8,392$4,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,566.910056%56 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Vitality64c8,350$5,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,381.82,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc568…1a8cbacked 9z31c8,000$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,504.994843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d7a…70b6backed Vitality6c7,500$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc84…04b2backed 9z14c7,430$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,371.15444.4%24 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality46c7,341$3,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,412.451,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 9z17c7,259$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,005.162,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked 9z44c7,000$3,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9133844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Vitality40c6,629$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,648.981,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed 9z14c6,500$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,594.9129851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked 9z35c6,494$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,216.851,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed 9z42c6,278$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.9678043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdafe…c5b5backed Vitality53c6,213$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.172339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked 9z33c6,073$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,073.161338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 9z9c6,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4601,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Vitality43c5,958$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.952,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x289b…ded5backed Vitality72c5,915$4,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,251.841618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Vitality1c5,782$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.251190.8%1 W · 118 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Vitality34c5,613$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.319659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fb9…ba87backed Vitality13c5,580$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac3…66eabacked 9z17c5,509$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,587.472466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vitality38c5,225$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.661,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7d…492dbacked Vitality10c5,220$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Vitality14c5,100$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed 9z8c5,090$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,669.6135236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Vitality67c5,000$3,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.5137946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 9z17c5,000$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,15078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40a…fa62backed Vitality68c5,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4002462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Vitality3c4,490$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.111943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked 9z21c4,289$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.1614544.8%65 W · 80 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Vitality36c4,288$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.7822449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa0…e20fbacked Vitality44c4,212$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.424045%18 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe708…c3aabacked 9z5c4,162$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,962.04540%2 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick11cpaid+439.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe93…0d83backed 9z15c4,082$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.943336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked 9z48c3,965$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.56539.4%5 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d5…7146backed Vitality14c3,860$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5362458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+44.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked 9z47c3,656$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.541,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Vitality3c3,600$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041822.2%4 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick6cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Vitality14c3,521$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed 9z16c3,500$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.9666851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 9z11c3,497$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,106.7652837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed 9z31c3,477$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.9145646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked 9z55c3,370$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.028032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 9z59c3,238$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.912,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed 9z17c3,157$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.842642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked 9z54c3,105$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.1566446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Vitality77c3,087$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.232,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked 9z17c3,014$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.8514744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed 9z51c3,004$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.610359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Vitality2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick6cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed 9z16c2,851$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.8342154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Vitality9c2,826$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.291428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed 9z26c2,733$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.9428943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 9z47c2,717$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.259839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e5…0cadbacked Vitality13c2,660$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3561442.9%6 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick21cpaid+61.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 9z32c2,595$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.362,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 9z58c2,581$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.252,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Vitality49c2,575$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.3988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked 9z29c2,567$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.993557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+37.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed 9z20c2,548$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.788330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Vitality70c2,535$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.8619448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Vitality4c2,500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95140%0 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Vitality73c2,500$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82517162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x062a…30f7backed Vitality15c2,400$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed 9z34c2,371$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.2811149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.