TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6bc9…ab64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 63 out of 100; worst La Liga at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT3525.7%9 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.20per pick6cpaid+327.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$675.22
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.64
Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.07
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.64
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+3,233.3%+$368.69
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Algeria?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$310.55
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.15
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.25
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+900%+$225.02
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.36
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.74
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$424.07
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Côte d'Ivoire to score first vs. Ecuador?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Germany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$892.73
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+87.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.76
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,400%+$4,200
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.88
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+1,967.3%+$10,265.42
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.75
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.47
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,478.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+1,478.9%+$2,810
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$556.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.