MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x563c970c8b9e7315b8c597ef7fab8bb8b1f2ef7c1085d8619cd7d04d8dabea64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 74c | 11,526$8,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed Under | 5c | 10,787$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,265.42 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 56c | 5,635$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.63 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 12c | 4,330$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 9c | 4,263$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 4,255$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.3 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 11c | 3,012$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.98 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2887…a552backed Under | 7c | 2,400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 53c | 2,178$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.34 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 1,927$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 80c | 1,673$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.86 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 11c | 1,551$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.92 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 56c | 1,299$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.88 | 267 | 62.2%166 W · 101 L | +43.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 1,184$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Over | 12c | 1,103$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 55c | 1,031$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 10c | 989.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.18 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 7c | 938.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +262.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 63c | 746$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.02 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 21c | 694.26$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 47c | 595.21$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.66 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46c2…927bbacked Over | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 37c | 375.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…b9d0backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 63c | 340.65$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 12c | 249.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 41c | 248$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.14 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 73c | 235$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.55 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 58c | 221.7$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 23c | 200.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 58c | 198.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 73c | 178.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 24c | 146.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 40c | 138.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 28c | 132$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 12c | 130.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 46c | 126$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 56c | 123.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Over | 12c | 118.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 13c | 116.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 63c | 99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Under | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 70c | 76.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 55c | 73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 53c | 55.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Under | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 31c | 39.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 38c | 33.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 32.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 44c | 29.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 51c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Under | 68c | 27.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Over | 53c | 24.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 53c | 24.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Over | 57c | 21.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 69c | 18.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe425…2eb0backed Under | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…a0fcbacked Under | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…f8b1backed Under | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa91…7353backed Under | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…5b50backed Under | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…f3fabacked Under | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…58f6backed Under | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…e1ccbacked Under | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…3a9fbacked Under | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…1817backed Under | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…b36cbacked Under | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…45c9backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…6ed5backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…3282backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…f969backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…7c4fbacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c2…5160backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee12…d93bbacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…4cb3backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…6c7cbacked Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…d7cabacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…b346backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…a762backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x717e…9746backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…7bacbacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Under | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 13.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.