MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeccd4e51a08cb90fcbebf65fd7396b1547cf9706b00530f1299be16521524da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Cincinnati Reds, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $494,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $474,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 88,944$50,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,503.09 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 75,000$40,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,499.95 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 47,372$25,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,264.82 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 26,596$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 23,856$9,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,672.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 19,934$7,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,980.36 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 19,209$9,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,861.63 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 11,831$6,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,560.59 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 11,742$8,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.08 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 10,212$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.2 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 10,074$5,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,564.97 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 6,991$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.59 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 5,975$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.15 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 5,745$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.15 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 5,402$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.84 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 5,337$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.03 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 4,716$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.52 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 4,587$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.76 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 4,570$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.09 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 4,522$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.59 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 4,460$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 4,043$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.08 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 3,998$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.06 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 3,642$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.12 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 2,838$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.54 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,822$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 2,800$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 2,531$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.09 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.18 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 2,233$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.8 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 2,207$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.22 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,142$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.21 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,130$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.8 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 2,095$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.24 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 2,023$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.24 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,966$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,671$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.86 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,609$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.35 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 1,493$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.7 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 1,486$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.27 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,482$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.62 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 1,457$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.33 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…6586backed St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +88%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,312$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,293$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,235$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,203$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.13 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 1,200$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.69 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,187$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.93 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,157$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.44 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,145$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.24 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 1,140$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.62 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 1,130$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.98 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,118$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 973.51$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.81 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 951.15$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 919.16$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.88 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 909.42$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.36 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 895.13$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…df3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 800.95$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 799.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…1f1bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 799.97$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 771.43$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.14 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 699.96$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.6 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 619.01$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.74 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…cf7bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 605.08$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 593.5$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.4 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 557.41$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.54 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 524.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.49 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 475$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.2 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 468$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 462.52$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.52 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 446.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 415.76$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 415.08$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.31 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 413.43$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 402$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 399.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 397.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 380$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.53 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 370$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 354.78$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.04 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 350$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 342.61$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 319.94$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.17 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 316.64$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 311$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.95 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 13.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.