Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cc24036a0362e9686acd23ddd7cffc8ddd216f74b6391805f17f7bed8f60c58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed No | 5c | 11,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +327.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…fb09backed No | 10c | 9,802$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.2 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 3,957$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 15c | 2,914$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.05 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 26c | 2,171$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.04 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 16c | 2,132$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.44 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 16c | 1,888$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.62 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204a…a4eabacked No | 10c | 1,622$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 1c | 1,419$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed No | 8c | 1,378$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 55c | 1,111$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.03 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 757.42$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.89 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…2341backed No | 8c | 754.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +88%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…aecfbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 19c | 655.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.29 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 22c | 648.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.67 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 15c | 647.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.6 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 20c | 630$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 14c | 599.27$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.27 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 41c | 593$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.25 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 42c | 537.14$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.2 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed No | 4c | 497.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Yes | 24c | 381.94$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Yes | 14c | 350$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Yes | 14c | 340$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Yes | 15c | 333.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.08 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…f8ccbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 16c | 308.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.35 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 227.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…0eb3backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 14c | 160.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked No | 14c | 151.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…4679backed Yes | 24c | 148.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 78c | 140.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…a266backed Yes | 15c | 140$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…7513backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed No | 15c | 130.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Yes | 15c | 130.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…cfd8backed No | 79c | 128.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a3…3dedbacked No | 11c | 127.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf94…dfe2backed No | 68c | 124$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 120$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…e42fbacked Yes | 28c | 105.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 18c | 97.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 42c | 63.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…de2abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 28c | 50.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae42…9235backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 38c | 40.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f2…654dbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 74c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 80c | 29.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 61c | 23.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 74c | 23.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 70c | 16.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…7710backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.